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## Bitcoin Reserve: How govs will steal from you to build the reserves? The evolving landscape of Bitcoin is increasingly influenced by state-level tracking and regulatory frameworks. As governments develop systems to monitor and control Bitcoin transactions, the implications for users and the market are profound. ### The Trackability of Bitcoin at State Level Bitcoin operates on a public ledger, making it **pseudonymous**. While individual users can maintain privacy through various techniques, state-level entities can effectively track transactions. - **Chain Analytics**: Firms and government agencies can analyze transaction flows and link them to real-world identities, especially when users interact with regulated services. - **Revelio Insights**: The Revelio paper illustrates how network-level observations on ligthning network can reveal custodial holdings and flows, enabling state-level attribution. ### The Custodial vs. Non-Custodial Wallet System A new regulatory framework is emerging that distinguishes between custodial and non-custodial wallets: - **KYC/AML Compliance**: Regulators will require that wallets and custodians interoperate only through channels that enforce Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) rules. - **Isolation of Non-Compliant Wallets**: Wallets that do not comply will be unable to transact with regulated entities, effectively isolating them from the broader financial ecosystem. ### The Mechanics of Blocking and Seizing Funds States are developing mechanisms to control Bitcoin transactions, which could lead to the seizure of funds: - **Transaction Failures**: When a user attempts to make a purchase, if the transaction fails compliance checks (e.g., BIS), the funds are blocked. - **Government-Controlled Reserves**: Blocked funds will be redirected to a government-controlled Bitcoin reserve, effectively allowing states to seize assets under the guise of regulatory compliance. ### Market Implications for Users The implications of these developments for users are significant: - **Reduced Autonomy**: Users relying on regulated exchanges and custodial wallets will find their assets increasingly linkable and subject to seizure. - **Increased Friction**: The need to comply with KYC/AML regulations will create barriers for users, limiting their ability to transact freely. ### Last but not least The combination of state-level tracking and a bifurcated wallet system creates a plausible pathway for governments to seize Bitcoin. As compliance becomes a requirement for interoperability, users must navigate a landscape where their assets are at risk of being redirected to government reserves. This shift fundamentally alters the original vision of Bitcoin as a decentralized currency, raising critical questions about user autonomy and financial freedom. #bitcoin #nostr #grownostr #monero