My Nostr predictions for 2024 Today marks one year since I joined Nostr. It’s been a crazy year, but I have a feeling that 2024 is going to be much crazier. Here are some predictions: 1. Nostr social media clients will become insanely good. By the end of the year we will surpass the legacy social media clients in terms of UX and features, making them look like relics of the past. 2. More lightning wallets will implement Nostr integration. By the end of the year Nostr will become a de facto standard public lightning directory. 3. The bitcoin bull run will bring more users to Nostr, adding more gravity to the network. 4. At some point, a massive new cohort of users will join Nostr. We won’t be ready for them. Relays and other services (indexers, media hosting, etc.) will struggle to support them. After some hiccups, the Nostr ecosystem will adjust. 5. With the increased network activity, spammers will return in force. They will be sophisticated and relentless, putting all of our spam mitigation services to the test. 6. Long form notes will become much bigger on Nostr. 7. At least one “other stuff” content type will take off in a meaningful way. 8. Nostr’s censorship resistance capabilities will get tested in a major public episode. 9. The AI community will get much more interested in Nostr. They will be attracted by the idea that open source language models, combined with Nostr’s open social graph and publicly accessible data - could actually democratize AI. 10. By the end of the year everyone - even the haters - will realize that Nostr is going to win. 11. @ODELL will accuse me of not being bullish enough. Anyhow, GM ☀️ and Merry Christmas! 🎄🎅🏻

Replies (74)

Happy anniversary. I love your predictions and feel most of them can come true with just a little hard work and patience. Thanks for building Nostr. I look forward to our next beer.
LL62's avatar
LL62 2 years ago
We will see 🎅🤙 merry christmas
Stage 4 and 5 will be interesting to see. 9 Just depends how bad they get treated by civitai and the rest of places. Wonderful note for the future, Merry Christmas 🎄🍵🤙
Merry Christmas and happy nostr anniversary! Welcome to the 1yr OG club! 😉 Here's my prediction: "All of social and digital media is going to zero against nostr" - Max Keiser, 2025
Espectacular Miljan, creo que el 2024 va a ser un gran año para todos , feliz navidad 🎄🎄🎁
pam's avatar
pam 2 years ago
thank you for the great client @miljan . Merry Christmas and here's to an adventurous 2024!
Was going to write a 2024 Nostr Prediction List and then read @miljan's; he said everything I wanted to and with more skin in the game, so boosting his! View quoted note → #Nostr2024 #grownostr #plebchain #GM
New Year resolution is to figure this space out. Does a guide exist for artists who want to put their work on Nostr and let people access content for Zaps? Thinking live and pre recorded. Thanks
brah's avatar
brah 2 years ago
I think slashtags will have a product that competes directly with #nostr and may have better trade offs / censorship resistance
> 1. Nostr social media clients will become insanely good. (...) Agreed! Snort, Primal and Amethyst are phenominal and their futures look super bright! > 2. More lightning wallets will implement Nostr integration. (...) Question is... Custodial or not? I personally see Lightning's future with a lot of skepsis... but, might just be me. o.o > 3. The bitcoin bull run will bring more users to Nostr, adding more gravity to the network. (...) I sincerely hope that this isn't the only kind of new users. Would grow the bubble, but not help anyone else. :/ > 4. At some point, a massive new cohort of users will join Nostr. (...) Mass adoption usually happens as the result of some form of panic move. I wonder; will Threads suddenly implode? x) Or will Twitter actually, for real for real no cap bussin PROPERLY die?! (im so sorry for that one. xD) > 5. With the increased network activity, spammers will return in force. (...) DVMs to the rescue?... > 6. Long form notes will become much bigger on Nostr. I hope so! Habla is looking real mighty. :) There are also a few specialized projects around blogging on Nostr starting to take shape - this will become interesting. > 7. At least one “other stuff” content type will take off in a meaningful way. Curious to see what this will be... I have a hope and a hunch, let's see which prevails. > 8, 9 Pretty straight-forward yes. > 10. By the end of the year everyone - even the haters - will realize that Nostr is going to win. Haters realizing something? Uh... when has that ever happened, exactly? x) > 11. @ODELL will accuse me of not being bullish enough. Nah fam, he is too busy trying to fix his capslock... that is, if he is even trying. (: Merry christmas to you too and I wish you a wonderful year on the Nostr!!
I'm hoping #nostr will be used by wallets to coordinate pay join transactions to increase privacy.
Loving the predictions. To be honest I’m not as optimistic. I reckon Nostr in a year will be in a vaguely similar state as today. The user experience is amazing and the people are friendly but it’s basically a #Bitcoin echo chamber for now.
Just joined after watching the first 28 minutes of your interview with @preston . Thanks for giving me the PUSH I needed!
I hope #1, in particular, turns out to be an accurate prediction!
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Austin 1 year ago
Merry Christmas! You made it happen