Replies (14)

lesco's avatar
lesco 2 months ago
Too much paper Bitcoin.
2013 top was 11x, 2017 was 6.3x and 2021 was 3.4x the power law expected price. We're now at 1.125x so even with diminishing returns this should not be the top.
No way to know. But also, no reason to suspect that's true. Issuing paper Bitcoin is a seriously risky venture when the underlying asset is easy and cheap to self custody, can be sent instantly, and is verified every 10 minutes.
Bull Market for ants as money mangers rebalance everytime Bitcoin pumps. Paper Bitcoin Summer.
BDC's avatar
BDC 2 months ago
ETF flywheel??
lesco's avatar
lesco 2 months ago
Yes, but tons of new capital is holding BTC within exchanges and treasury companies. They will eventually get reck and then price will skyrocket when everyone realizes Bitcoin is scarce. Just like FTX.