agreed but the 50-100 year process will be much quicker imo. it takes 2-3 countries to properly establish a stratrgic reserve for bitcoin to reach escape velocity which isn’t even necessary. this is where gradually then suddenly theory comes from.
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I don’t think it’ll happen like that personally. Most countries don’t want to give up control of money and the ability to sell debt. They want to be able to self fund, print and censor. It’s a huge set of incentives to not adopt Bitcoin.
I can’t accurately predict the future and I could be wrong, but that’s how I see it.
If organic adoption continues on its current trajectory then there is still a decade or two at least until Bitcoin is a common global money / asset. And probably some decades after until it reaches full global saturation and ubiquity.
I’m stacking regardless and enjoying watching everything play out. Personally adoption already feels impressively fast but I think I have more realistic expectations than many in this space.