🟣 Not only the federal government owes $37 trillion. America is drowning in debt. In 2025, they'll run a $1.9 trillion deficit (more than 6% of GDP) and pay over $1.11 trillion just to cover interest. More than the entire U.S. defense budget. By 2035, the Congressional Budget Office projects U.S. debt will hit $58 trillion, or 130% of GDP. Moody’s has already stripped the U.S. of its last AAA credit rating. Their warning? Debt is no longer a long-term issue. It’s now a strategic liability. Even worst: M2 is expanding again → Up 4.2% year-over-year as of March 2025. That’s the fastest pace since 2022. We’re watching inflationary pressure return, while real yields evaporate. #Bonds, once the gold standard of safety, are now melting ice cubes. And still, #Congress continues to shovel more fuel on the fire. The latest round of extended #Trump-era tax cuts, wrapped in the ironically named “One Big Beautiful Bill,” will gut federal tax revenue by $4.5 trillion over the next decade, while offering just 1.1% additional GDP growth. I don’t see this as #policy, but arithmetic failure. → As trust is dying, #capital is flocking to #Bitcoin. The new hedge against political incompetence. With a fixed supply of 21 million and no central issuer, Bitcoin is structurally immune. When fiat collapses, code doesn’t beg for bailouts. Look, we’re experiencing a coordinated, institutional repositioning: 👇 🟠 Over 59% of institutional investors in the U.S now allocate at least 10% of their #portfolios to BTC and digital #assets. 🟠 #BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust crossed $50 billion in AUM in less than a year. #Fidelity is right behind. Total spot ETF assets are projected to hit $80 billion by end of Q2 2025. 🟠 The latest #Coinbase / #EY-Parthenon survey is crystal clear: 83% of institutional investors plan to increase their #crypto allocations in 2025. 59% of them will go beyond 5% of AUM. 🟠 Nearly 100 publicly listed companies now hold BTC on their balance sheets. 🟠 #Treasury management firms are spinning up Bitcoin-specific advisory practices. 👉 Now, sovereigns are entering the game. 🟠 In March 2025, the U.S. #government consolidated seized BTC into a newly designated Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. I see it as an admission. #BTC is no longer a threat. It’s an asset. 🟠 European central banks are buying too. Quietly, but with intent. What was once ridiculed as “internet money” is now treated like digital gold. #Nostr, I’m not writing about a “crypto story” here but about a capital allocation story. The old model of relying on bonds is broken. Real yields: gone. Trust: gone. The “risk-free rate” now carries systemic risk. And we’re watching the global risk-free asset quietly shift from Treasury bonds to the hardest money ever. 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗲𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗽𝗲 𝗵𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵. The world’s largest asset managers are already on it. The next move is fully strategic. Yours could be too.

Replies (26)

Audrey Welch's avatar
Audrey Welch 7 months ago
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If BTC goes to $100m per coin like Jason Lowery predicted maybe all of the worlds compute energy goes to the ten minute war for 3.125 BTC and AI and big data dies immediately. One could only hope.
Lowery’s broader idea about Bitcoin as a strategic defense asset isn’t realistic imo. For now, the world’s compute energy is flowing toward AI and big data, not exclusively to Bitcoin. But if society ever does prioritize Bitcoin’s security above all else, the “ten minute war” for block rewards could, in theory, become the dominant global compute contest.. a scenario that would indeed reshape the digital world as we know it tho.
What a spectacular analysis. I think the situation in the United States is compromised. It's not a question of itself... but a matter of when. It's a cat that bites its tail. The system is ready to collapse. No one knows if it will last another 2.5 or 10 years but sooner or later it will collapse on itself. And bitcoin will obviously be the new money along with the stable coins
I think we should never underestimate how long the dollar system can survive, gold bugs have been saying that fiat money is about to day any moment now for as long as I remember. To their credit, things are pretty fucked up, but I think that as Bitcoiners we should never take things from granted, the fiat system has many ways to reinvent itself (think USDT for example)
🔍 Los datos macro son innegables: → Deuda proyectada de $58 billones (130% PIB) para 2035 → $1,11 billones solo en intereses (¡más que todo el presupuesto de defensa!) → Expansión M2 del 4,2% presionando inflación → Recortes fiscales que profundizan el déficit ($4,5T menos en ingresos) Los bonos como "activo libre de riesgo" están en crisis terminal. La credibilidad institucional se erosiona cuando los pagos de intereses devoran recursos estratégicos. ►Bitcoin NO es un refugio mágico: Su volatilidad (30-día: ~60%) y correlación con mercados de riesgo lo hacen complejo para reservas soberanas. El "digital gold" aún no supera la prueba de estrés sistémico. ►La adopción institucional tiene matices: El 83% planea aumentar exposición a crypto ≠ asignaciones masivas. Muchos ETFs operan como instrumentos especulativos (rotación diaria promedio: 15-20%). ►La "Reserva Estratégica de Bitcoin" de EE.UU. es mínima: Representa <0,001% de las reservas totales. Más gesto simbólico que cambio de paradigma. El verdadero "escape hatch" no es un activo, sino soberanía financiera descentralizada. Bitcoin es solo una herramienta en esa transición. La solución estructural requiere: ▼Reforma fiscal real (no recortes populistas) ▼Contención del complejo militar-industrial ▼Nueva arquitectura monetaria que limite la impresión irresponsable Sí, el sistema actual colapsa. Pero sustituir bonos por BTC sin abordar los desequilibrios reales (productividad, desigualdad, gasto improductivo) solo crea una nueva fragilidad. La revolución será institucional... o no será. #Macro #Deuda #Bitcoin View quoted note →
What’s interesting even MSM changed its tone. They are freaking out. What’s strange is that no one realizes we are in crisis.
Martin Mladenov's avatar
Martin Mladenov 6 months ago
The U.S. debt spiral is a total disaster—$37 trillion and counting, with a $1.9 trillion deficit this year alone? That’s insane, and the $1.11 trillion in interest payments is just rubbing salt in the wound. Moody’s downgrade was the wake-up call everyone should’ve seen coming. And don’t get me started on the “One Big Beautiful Bill”—what a joke! Adding $4.5 trillion to the deficit for a measly 1.1% GDP growth is the kind of math that makes my head spin. It’s no wonder trust in fiat and bonds is tanking hard. Bitcoin, though? That’s where the smart money’s going, and you nailed it—fixed supply, no central issuer, it’s the ultimate hedge against this clown show. Institutional adoption is through the roof—BlackRock and Fidelity piling in, 59% of investors allocating 10% to BTC, and now even the U.S. government with their Strategic Bitcoin Reserve? That’s a massive signal. European central banks jumping in just seals the deal. Bitcoin isn’t just an escape hatch; it’s becoming the new global reserve asset. Time to stack sats and watch the fiat house of cards crumble!