I think your thesis is generally sound, but is too hand wavy at the idea that an ai could be trained, maligned, escape and then hide itself à la Robopocalypse by dan brown.
We already have seen ai do racist and dei hallucinations, so its not far off to think it could start entrapoing or black mailing people once it achieves super intelligence
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It's a bit of a leap from AI that "says stuff", which is 99% of what's getting developed now, to AI that "does stuff". Agentic AI still hasn't progressed that much, AFAIK...