New interview with #[0]​ where he said it finally “clicked” to put all the puzzle pieces together. Hope it’s helpful for others in these confusing times.

Replies (67)

Diego Valley's avatar
Diego Valley 2 years ago
‘Technology is deflationary, deal with it’ - Jeff Booth
Volcano's avatar
Volcano 2 years ago
Just watced it #[2]. Definitely helped!
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Maciej 2 years ago
It clicked for me too. 🙏
:P's avatar
:P 2 years ago
He said puzzle 🧩 😆
Diego Valley's avatar
Diego Valley 2 years ago
Great discussion. What gives you confidence that your thesis will play out the way you say in the chat with Peter?
fightstarter's avatar
fightstarter 2 years ago
If everything had a Bitcoin price along side of the fiat price we would be much further along in adoption.
If you’ve read the book, or articles listed on jeffbooth.ca written at various times, they all seem to be predicting other events long before they’re happening. I believe it’s b/c my model is correct and therefore what is happening (and will continue) doesn’t surprise. As long as #Bitcoin base layer isn’t compromised, everything else is inevitable (timeframe unknown)
I believe the human mind is a prediction machine and we can strengthen that ability through use. This ability can be honed over the years through making predictions and then noticing how accurate they were and adjusting as needed. However, since the mind is also in the business of protecting itself, we must either make these predictions public or write them down so that our minds don’t rewrite history to justify incorrect predictions. I believe #[4]​ has added this super power to his skill stack!
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nobody 2 years ago
How many times do you think you’ve said “prices fall to the marginal cost of production” over the last few months? Keep hammering home your message #[2]​ It takes the rest of us a lot longer to see the world the way you do.
Diego Valley's avatar
Diego Valley 2 years ago
How come the cost of energy hasn’t gone down? My guess is either because we’re using fossil fuels, semi scare asset or production is controlled by big oil and /or OPEC?
Maybe one of these days it will click for me. I just can’t see how we avoid a form of basic income. Wether it’s on Bitcoin or fiat.
Diego Valley's avatar
Diego Valley 2 years ago
People have made a career of making predictions and forecasts and no one ever goes back to check if they were right or not
True. People tend to forget and move on. I’m suggesting this is more of a personal ability. I’m doing this more in my life - verbalizing, recording, and keeping track of my predictions. The hardest part is being honest with myself! 🤣😂🤣😂
Thanks for this conversation. My pastime during the day to try to inhabit this mindset is to guess the Bitcoin value of all objects I see around me. On the drive to work I pass 1000 cars... How much are they worth? What percent of the world's economic power do they represent? At the moment it's more than 1000 BTC.... But it's one stretch of highway in one city. What do the overpasses cost, what do the streetlights cost? What does the maintenance cost? There are 50+ cities bigger than mine. Even if these 50 cities were the whole world that's 420,000 BTC per city. How would it be apportioned? What fraction would the world's 1.1 billion vehicles command? These kinds of questions help me at least think about pricing in BTC--a true Booth-style BTC standard. @Jeff Booth I would like to ask whether you agree that one way we could "give people jobs" is to vastly increase human-to-human contact jobs like elder care, schooling, youth development and so on. Is there a future where we can distribute the productivity gains well enough that we could have a prosperous economy from which a system with strong social supports (a sort of free market parallel to the nanny state) could emerge? I agree with your arguments against UBI, but I struggle to see how society will structure itself so as not to exclude the legions of people displaced by tech. Thank you sir!
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Jdubs 2 years ago
Price your house/rent, groceries iphone, phone plan in bitcoin and it all starts to become more clear!
@Jeff Booth the tone of your voice has untapped potential. Have you ever considered narrating Bitcoin Books for Kids ? ✌️
A good refresher of where the true north is. Jeff, you didn't get to comment on the chokepoint 2.0. Did you want to say "we haven't seen nothing yet" ?
Jeff, I’ve followed you for years but never really taken the time to understand your thesis. This weekend I watched that interview half a dozen times/read your Greatest Game article. Feel like my entire economic framework is under construction. All of the pieces of data over the years are seemingly coming together in a way I understood intuitively, but could not articulate. Appreciate ya
Thank you! Paradigm shifts are hard for the mind to grasp because we naturally update our existing models versus think at first principles. That’s why I “try” to stay above the noise. Mostly, it’s just a normal process of a system and mind change that will take time for people measuring from the wrong system to fully understand and appreciate.
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nobody 2 years ago
Must watch. And I never say that. His concepts need time to be digested... but let them percolate... ☕️ View quoted note →
Thanks Jeff! Super helpful. Like you I am going to spend as much time as I can in the Bitcoin ecosystem. You do a great job of explaining why the fiat system is doomed and why everyone will eventually migrate to a Bitcoin standard with early adopters (Bitcoin & NOSTR etc) gaining 1st mover advantage. I'll be re reading the Price of Tomorrow as well. Thanks again for all you do in the space.
402Art's avatar
402Art 2 years ago
Thank you for enlightened me🙏
Tom Adair's avatar
Tom Adair 2 years ago
Clicked for me on this one after listening to you describe deflation and effect on falling prices through a bitcoin lens. Just on the Audible Price of Tomorrow now while painting in the studio. 🙏🏻🧡
This is in direct opposition to the Austrian school, which realizes prosperity excretes only from win-win exchanges. If you expect your 'money' to be worth more next month, you are less likely to hire Johnny to mow your lawn this month, costing Johnny his income and costing you the opportunity cost of mowing your own lawn. Deflation discourages exchanges and encouraging HODLing, which is a completely opposing theory.
Chris's avatar
Chris 2 years ago
It's truly remarkable how hard it is to understand a paradigm shift as big as this. Because of the way you deliver this message, I never get bored at listening to interview after interview of you saying the same thing over and over. Every time I feel I'm learning something new. It's just crazy how much we reinforce our own mental models, once the penny drops we don't slide back into short cuts (old habits) and give our energy to the existing system. Rest of us dummies are slowly catching on.👏 B
frphank's avatar
frphank 1 year ago
You haven't quoted Silvio Gesell yet.