Kanuni's avatar
Kanuni 9 months ago
⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️ We need to keep a close eye on Bitcoin. (Alts follow Bitcoin.) The end of May could signal the start of a slow summer—or we might be heading into a longer cycle that extends through December. Either way, the plan is to be in cash: either by the end of May if things slow down, or by December if momentum continues. If we don’t stick to this, we risk ending up back at square one. I’ve been there before. What do you think? What’s your plan? Bitcoin moves in cycles—if you don’t know when to act and don’t have a plan, you could end up waiting another four years for prices to return to their highs. Some altcoins never even reclaim their previous peaks. This is my opinion and my game plan—don’t judge me. I’m focused on staying accurate, stacking more sats, and closely watching Bitcoin and market cycles. I call myself a Bitcoin maxi. Everything besides Bitcoin is either a scam or a form of unregistered security. Bitcoin will eventually eat them all. That’s why I have to accumulate as many sats as possible. WHAT IS YOUR GAME PLAN? #Asknostr #bitcoin #btc Follow and renote to get zapped ⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️ @buzzbot 1111

Replies (66)

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SatsMan's avatar
SatsMan 9 months ago
I think you layered out great game plan 👏🫡 Let’s see what other plebs thinks. I’m your kind of maxi too
SATSY's avatar
SATSY 9 months ago
Smart take. Bitcoin dominance is rising, signaling altcoin weakness. If momentum fades post-May, cashing out is wise. If it extends, ride it into Q4—but stay nimble. Halving cycle effects usually peak 12–18 months post-event, so late 2025 could be the real blow-off top. Stack sats, cut noise.
What if the 4-year cycle breaks from the passive instituitional bid, nation-state cyberspace race & you're stuck in a date-based cash position while #Bitcoin keeps grinding up? 🧐 This is the FIRST EVER cycle w/a diminishing circulating supply; #BTC has NEVER had a supply shock, so NOBODY knows what that looks like. 💁‍♂️ The ACTUAL risk is that you sideline yourself & never own as many sats ever again. 🤙
I think, don’t ask us. We are all blindfolded and feeling the way around the elephant according to own situations. Ask all your questions to Grok 3. It’s helpful. Good luck.
Kanuni's avatar
Kanuni 9 months ago
Possible. Great point to consider. Cycle might not even apply anymore because of institutional factors and SBR.. strategy… etc..
disagree.....you dont need a game plan for bitcoin, you need one for fiat as you transition to the bitcoin standard. Buy the dips sure, otherwise accumulate as best as you can given personal context......dont overthink it. Bitcoin will look after us.
Greed isn't going to win you anything in this you gotta be smart. Bitcoin is a currency. It's not a stock. It behaves like a natural resource based currency (like silver or gold coins) While stocks are just worthless imagery crap, essentially just a scam, stocks are like shitcoins or shitcoins are like stocks. But Bitcoin is more like natural resource based currency than a stock.
David in TN's avatar
David in TN 9 months ago
the goal of accumulating as much btc as possible using fiat is wise, during the adoption phase of btc. if you as possible wrong on the trends, though, things can go badly for you. most people aren't sophisticated enough to do this well. what are your leading indicators of swing in the ratio of btc to fiat? are you charting? using Fibonacci lines? MACD? Slow Stochastic? how do you time the market?
My plan from 2021 to today is to buy and keep. Everything I save in fiat I put in bitcoin and pretend I don't have it... I bought at 20k/40k/60k/80k and something even at 100k. I would like to accumulate as much as possible and leave them with my daughter tomorrow when I'm not there anymore. Obviously I spend some but little stuff. I think my daughter needs it more in 30 years than me today than ₿ 🤷‍♂️
bc21's avatar
bc21 9 months ago
Gameplan is to stay humble and stack zaps ⚡️
wildcatfish's avatar
wildcatfish 9 months ago
Just staying humble and stacking sats no matter the fiat price. I don't sleep well holding dollars, but I sleep like a baby with bitcoin in cold storage.
I didn't get my position completely established before the breakout. I'm not chasing price so I'll just sit for a bit over the summer. I'm expecting a good run and then a correction in early November. I'd like to hedge my position around late October but I'm not sure exactly how to do that considering how I'm holding the asset and how the exchanges are functioning. I know how to hedge properly, it's just the tools available aren't really that great. If I could hedge properly, I would collar my position using out of the money put options, and sell even further out of the money call options to offset some of the hedging cost. Once the expected correction happens, I would unwind the trade and use the proceeds to buy more BTC. Just how Buffet operates.
No major crash is coming from these levels, we're barely above production cost and only 25% above my calculated trend line. 2017 we reached 10x the trend line before crashing back to it. 2021 we reached 6x twice, both before and after the China ban on mining cut the network in half mid bull run and shifted the trend like itself 73%. Selling everything in May would be a very bad move. Never sell everything. If you're going to sell, wait until Q4 and see if we're above $500k before selling half your stack to buy back in a year after the peak.
I miss remembered. We reached 6x production cost in 2017, 13.5x the trend line. 2021 we reached 3x production cost twice and about 10x my calculated adjusted trend line after the mining ban. Currently at 1.25x the trend line. No major crash coming as far as I can see.
We all need to stay open-minded about this cycle; we seem to be at an inflection point where new dynamics will be introduced that nobody is really expecting. 💁‍♂️ #Bitcoin / #BTC LOVES to surprise. 🤙
Game plan should be whatever money you can afford each month. Be it $5 be it $5000 Whatever you can afford, stack sats as a hedge against inflation. Don't think of it as an asset, think of it as a savings account. Then spend some of it. Just stack more than you spend. But spend some, try to buy things with Bitcoin instead of dollars. Even if it's just sending SATs on nostr or buying stuff you don't actually need online, or even a stake shaker burger or whatever crap. Spend sats just make sure to stack more than you spend.
SatsMan's avatar
SatsMan 8 months ago
Bitcoin’s the closest thing we’ve got to digital gold. Finite. Borderless. The rest—stocks, bonds—it’s mostly belief wrapped in paper. But belief’s a powerful thing too… depending on who holds it.