Many will be familiar with the concept of "Controlled opposition" when it comes to politics. Controlled opposition refers to an individual that appears to be part of a movement but is actually working against its interests. So, Controlled Opposition = Safe Opposition. However, the concept doesn't apply just to politics - it also applies to finance. The next logical question is: - If self-custody Bitcoin used as a medium of exchange is the real threat to the system, what are the main "Controlled opposition" assets? The TLDR: If the real threat is sovereign, self-custodied Bitcoin used as money, the main "controlled-opposition" assets are those that: 1) scratch the same itch (store of value/digital convenience), 2) live on rails the system controls (KYC, custodian choke-points, halt switches, derivatives plumbing), 3) pull mind-share and flows away from self-custody. So let's look at what functionally acts as "controlled opposition" to Bitcoin-as-money 1) Spot Bitcoin ETFs / futures ETPs / broker wrappers / treasury companies - Why: Satisfies "I want Bitcoin" inside supervised custody (halts, KYC, AP/MM control). Price exposure without keys. - Divert: Normalizes paper claims; self-custody becomes niche. 2) Stablecoins & tokenized Treasuries (USD rails) - Why: Feels "crypto", settles fast, but is centrally stoppable and ID-bound; reinforces USD/Treasury primacy. - Divert: People do "crypto payments" without touching Bitcoin as MOE (Medium of Exchange). 3) ETH + L2/"Web3 compute" with compliance defaults - Why: Captures the "programmable money" mind-share; sequencers/validators and major front-ends are policy-sensitive and OFAC-aligned. - Divert: Builders and users focus on "platform tech", not sovereign money; payments route through KYC endpoints. 4) Gold (esp. via ETFs/vaulted products) - Why: Absorbs "hard-money" demand inside custodian oligopolies; no parallel payments rail. - Divert: People hedge with gold instead of adopting Bitcoin for spend/settlement. 5) AI mega-caps & the power stack (chips, hyperscalers, data centers) - Why: Dominates narrative and capital budgets; policy-blessed growth captures risk capital. - Divert: "Future upside" shifts to AI equities instead of monetary sovereignty. 6) Meme-coins/alt-L1 manias on KYC venues - Why: Soaks up speculative energy; easy to list/delist; risk stays in pipes with kill-switches. - Divert: Attention rotates; Bitcoin's monetary focal point dilutes. 7) CBDCs & digital-ID money (the end-state substitute) - Why: Institutionalizes programmable compliance; gives the convenience Bitcoin can't match under KYC. - Divert: Everyday payments default to CBDC rails; Bitcoin remains "asset class". To de-fang Bitcoin-as-money, the Controllers oversupply substitutes that feel "hard", "digital", "innovative", or "yieldy" - but live in supervised pipes. What the Controllers know that most Bitcoiners don't: - permissionless technology โ‰  permissionless adoption ๐Ÿšจ REMINDER: write about investment implications/incentives.

Replies (5)

The Microstrategy case is very interesting and nuanced. I think it was used to suppress spot Bitcoin demand before Bitcoin ETFs were rolled out, and now the Controllers have very little use for Microstrategy. Now ETFs are kings. I think Microstrategy has had its best days behind it, however, I'll be writing about it next as I need to organize my thoughts.
It's kind of crazy to think that the main reason the Controllers let gold run is because: - It soaks up SoV (Store of Value) demand without enabling a parallel payments rail. - It's traded via custodian oligopolies (OTC/COMEX/ETFs), easy to steer with derivatives/custody. Central-bank buying gives it an official halo. The brilliant effect is: "Hard money" crowd gets relief inside supervised pipes; attention is diverted away from Bitcoin's unique monetary case. View quoted note โ†’
Bitcoin is controlled opposition to Monero just as gold is controlled opposition to Bitcoin. Like PsyOps controlled opposition can be nested within each other to hide truth or a disruptive social/financial movement. Self-custody + privacy is indeed the real opposition to the hypersurveilled CBDC ID world.
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