Many will be familiar with the concept of "Controlled opposition" when it comes to politics.
Controlled opposition refers to an individual that appears to be part of a movement but is actually working against its interests.
So, Controlled Opposition = Safe Opposition.
However, the concept doesn't apply just to politics - it also applies to finance.
The next logical question is:
- If self-custody Bitcoin used as a medium of exchange is the real threat to the system, what are the main "Controlled opposition" assets?
The TLDR:
If the real threat is sovereign, self-custodied Bitcoin used as money, the main "controlled-opposition" assets are those that:
1) scratch the same itch (store of value/digital convenience),
2) live on rails the system controls (KYC, custodian choke-points, halt switches, derivatives plumbing),
3) pull mind-share and flows away from self-custody.
So let's look at what functionally acts as "controlled opposition" to Bitcoin-as-money
1) Spot Bitcoin ETFs / futures ETPs / broker wrappers / treasury companies
- Why: Satisfies "I want Bitcoin" inside supervised custody (halts, KYC, AP/MM control). Price exposure without keys.
- Divert: Normalizes paper claims; self-custody becomes niche.
2) Stablecoins & tokenized Treasuries (USD rails)
- Why: Feels "crypto", settles fast, but is centrally stoppable and ID-bound; reinforces USD/Treasury primacy.
- Divert: People do "crypto payments" without touching Bitcoin as MOE (Medium of Exchange).
3) ETH + L2/"Web3 compute" with compliance defaults
- Why: Captures the "programmable money" mind-share; sequencers/validators and major front-ends are policy-sensitive and OFAC-aligned.
- Divert: Builders and users focus on "platform tech", not sovereign money; payments route through KYC endpoints.
4) Gold (esp. via ETFs/vaulted products)
- Why: Absorbs "hard-money" demand inside custodian oligopolies; no parallel payments rail.
- Divert: People hedge with gold instead of adopting Bitcoin for spend/settlement.
5) AI mega-caps & the power stack (chips, hyperscalers, data centers)
- Why: Dominates narrative and capital budgets; policy-blessed growth captures risk capital.
- Divert: "Future upside" shifts to AI equities instead of monetary sovereignty.
6) Meme-coins/alt-L1 manias on KYC venues
- Why: Soaks up speculative energy; easy to list/delist; risk stays in pipes with kill-switches.
- Divert: Attention rotates; Bitcoin's monetary focal point dilutes.
7) CBDCs & digital-ID money (the end-state substitute)
- Why: Institutionalizes programmable compliance; gives the convenience Bitcoin can't match under KYC.
- Divert: Everyday payments default to CBDC rails; Bitcoin remains "asset class".
To de-fang Bitcoin-as-money, the Controllers oversupply substitutes that feel "hard", "digital", "innovative", or "yieldy" - but live in supervised pipes.
What the Controllers know that most Bitcoiners don't:
- permissionless technology โ permissionless adoption
๐จ REMINDER: write about investment implications/incentives.
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Replies (5)
Saylor's wet dream.
The Microstrategy case is very interesting and nuanced.
I think it was used to suppress spot Bitcoin demand before Bitcoin ETFs were rolled out, and now the Controllers have very little use for Microstrategy.
Now ETFs are kings.
I think Microstrategy has had its best days behind it, however, I'll be writing about it next as I need to organize my thoughts.
It's kind of crazy to think that the main reason the Controllers let gold run is because:
- It soaks up SoV (Store of Value) demand without enabling a parallel payments rail.
- It's traded via custodian oligopolies (OTC/COMEX/ETFs), easy to steer with derivatives/custody. Central-bank buying gives it an official halo.
The brilliant effect is: "Hard money" crowd gets relief inside supervised pipes; attention is diverted away from Bitcoin's unique monetary case.
View quoted note โ
I'd gave to disagree that the US government wants you to buy Bitcoin.
But if you're going to be buying Bitcoin, they'd like you to buy the ETF and not self-custody.
Context:
View quoted note โ
The concept of Controlled Opposition assets also applies here:
View quoted note โ
Bitcoin is controlled opposition to Monero just as gold is controlled opposition to Bitcoin.
Like PsyOps controlled opposition can be nested within each other to hide truth or a disruptive social/financial movement.
Self-custody + privacy is indeed the real opposition to the hypersurveilled CBDC ID world.