why is it that this seems to be the era of wrapping all predictions, warnings and bull cases in "humans can't anticipate exponentials"? on the one hand, i agree that that's true about people (like Booth's paper folding example), and that the implications are important. but at the same time, it feels over-used. ...or is it the case that there are very many exponentials converging around the same time? here are the ones that come to mind, immediately, across the ideological spectrum - please add any you think of: - sovereign debt spiral / hyperinflation - compounding inequality, k-shape acceleration - global temperature increase and climate change (1) - AI / superintelligence (2) - "hyperbitcoinization" - demographic collapse - antimicrobial resistance - topsoil loss ("60 harvests left") - biodiversity / insect biomass collapse - 1: View quoted note → - 2:

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