Call me tone deaf but I ain’t hearing anything that rhymes!

Hi guys sorry, please check out my Geyser 🙏🏻 it’s for my son 🙏🏻 View quoted note →

Yes

Ofc the time frame plays a part Data can be read many ways Are you bearish or bullish right now? I think there’s a spicy year end around the corner myself

Bearish as fuck! 283 days of 0% gains since the 2024 top. We are post halving. We are mid treasury company record accumulation. We are mid record ETF inflows. I’ll be bullish when we are in a bull run. Until then!

Interesting So this idea of an elongated cycle is just hopium in your mind? Fair call My ATH timeline target was August 2025, set back in 2022 I shifted to October We’re basically there Can this thing double in a month? Maybe Unlikely though

Oh we are definitely in an elongated cycle. We are just in the plateau zone! The best and most honest way to measure the success of a bull run is to measure from cycle top to cycle top. 2021 we were at 69K. Over 4 years later to be at 109K, no matter how you slice it is not great. ~58% over a 4 year time horizon. If Bitcoin does not reach ~210K by years end, 2025 will be an absolute dud. The thesis of holding for one cycle (4 years) to assist with financial freedom is dead 100%. The new thesis we should be telling noobs is #hodl for 2.5 cycles (10 years) to feel a decent change to your personal finances. Bitcoin is still king, he’s just getting older 👴!

Just keep stackin

The diminishing returns thesis and power law concept are strong I agree there No-one knows the future though! A central bank loosening with inflation still not under control is very bullish for asset prices And not often seen historically