Oh we are definitely in an elongated cycle. We are just in the plateau zone!
The best and most honest way to measure the success of a bull run is to measure from cycle top to cycle top.
2021 we were at 69K.
Over 4 years later to be at 109K, no matter how you slice it is not great.
~58% over a 4 year time horizon.
If Bitcoin does not reach ~210K by years end, 2025 will be an absolute dud.
The thesis of holding for one cycle (4 years) to assist with financial freedom is dead 100%.
The new thesis we should be telling noobs is #hodl for 2.5 cycles (10 years) to feel a decent change to your personal finances.
Bitcoin is still king, he’s just getting older 👴!
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The diminishing returns thesis and power law concept are strong
I agree there
No-one knows the future though!
A central bank loosening with inflation still not under control is very bullish for asset prices
And not often seen historically