The channel peer you open the channel with knows both the history of the UTXO used to open the channel, and every subsequent transaction routed through them. If that UTXO was split from another that's later identified to you, then the whole channel is identified to you and thus anything routed through your channel peer is attributed to you. Then with timing analysis, later hops can be linked to the origin channel thus the whole chain can be broken.
If I'm incorrect please inform me this is the limit of my knowledge.
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well sure
but that's just regular onchain privacy problems, not unique to LN.
Its can break open the whole LN privacy though. Also works both ways. If through timing analysis your LN channel is identified to you, then the UTXO is and thus all previous cospend will break that on-chain anonymity.
Its superior privacy to purely on-chain since it requires this network attack but still presents a massive attack vector compared to a Monero with both on-chain sender, recieved and amount privacy AND network level privacy through Dandelion++
IK I'm preaching to the choir on the Monero point with you as you're aware of those technologies, I'm just bringing it back to Clippy's original claim that lightning privacy makes Monero irrelevant.