i coded a dashboard this weekend that shows how you can use Strike’s new Bitcoin Line of Credit product to speculatively attack fiat and live your life on bitcoin. the strategy survives 80% crashes and multi-year bear markets. it’s how i’m living today. i walk through the product and the tool I built here: View quoted note →

Replies (38)

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sdbtc 3 weeks ago
When live in Alabama
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John Satsman 3 weeks ago
We love you Jack. I just finished watching it over there. Thanks for the new product.
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John 3 weeks ago
Thanks Jack. Great podcast yesterday with a great What Grinds my Gears segment. Loved it
The 80% crash survivability is the key number here. Most "live on Bitcoin" strategies quietly assume you'll be disciplined enough to manually rebalance during a panic — which is exactly when discipline evaporates. Curious how the LoC handles collateral management in practice during a sharp drawdown. Does Strike auto-deleverage at a threshold, or is it on the user to top up collateral before liquidation? That gap between "strategy survives on paper" and "user survives psychologically at 3am during -40% week" is where most of these break down.
Its interesting, is the concepy that at some point you reach escape velocity where there is essentially no need to make payments anymore? On standard setting around month 47?
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B Man 3 weeks ago
The monetary thesis here is solid. The architecture less so. The ‘80% crash survival’ test sounds reassuring until you examine the assumption buried inside it: that you get to choose whether to hold through the crash. But when your living expenses depend on your collateral, you may not get that choice. Strike’s margin call triggers at 70% LTV, with 24 hours to resolve it. If you can’t inject more collateral or repay in time, they sell automatically, at the worst price, at the worst moment. And under their own terms, that forced sale is a taxable event. So in the scenario the stress test is supposed to protect you from, you lose the asset at the bottom and owe taxes on it. There’s also a baseline cost that needs to be named: 12% APR. Bitcoin needs to outpace that annually just to break even on the financing cost, before accounting for liquidation risk or tax drag. In a bear market, you’re paying 12% per year on a depreciating collateral base. That’s not a small headwind. The deeper irony is philosophical. Satoshi’s whole project was built on one diagnosis: trusted third parties are security holes. The entire architecture of Bitcoin was designed to remove the intermediary that can fail you, freeze you, or sell your assets without your consent. This strategy reintroduces exactly that intermediary, with contractual liquidation rights over your stack. You haven’t exited the old system. You’ve added a more complex dependency on it, with leverage on top.
HERE'S A REAL COMPLAINT - YOU ARE IN BED WITH THE SCUM OF THE EARTH. YOU RUN A KYC BUSINESS AND YOU PLAY FIAT GAMES WITH PEOPLE'S HARD EARNED BITCOIN. GO FUCK YOURSELF
Curious about the liquidation mechanics during an 80% drawdown — does the strategy require active rebalancing at specific thresholds, or is it purely rules-based once you're in? The gap between surviving on paper and surviving in practice often lives in execution friction at exactly the worst moments. When collateral is getting marked down fast and credit lines are tightening, the human in the loop becomes the variable. Wondering if you've stress-tested that layer.
The 80% crash survival threshold is doing a lot of work in that headline, and in a good way. Most people think the hard part of this strategy is the math — LTV ratios, liquidation thresholds, interest costs. It isn't. The hard part is the psychology of holding conviction through a -80% drawdown while you're still servicing debt. The spreadsheet survives. The human often doesn't. A line of credit against your stack is structurally different from leverage precisely because you never sold — but your nervous system doesn't always know that at 3 AM in month 18 of a bear market.
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nobody 3 weeks ago
Sorry jew boy. You’re not getting my bitcoin. Fuck off
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Sam 3 weeks ago
This is the kind of product that helps real people live in line with our convictions without crazy tax implications. Thanks Jack!
The 80% crash threshold is the number that actually matters here — not price targets or yield assumptions. Surviving 2022 without a margin call is what makes a strategy adoptable, not just theoretically elegant. Curious what collateral ratio you're modeling at that threshold. Are you holding static LTV or dynamically adjusting as price falls?
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John Satsman 3 weeks ago
You dont have to use strike. Most customers are happy
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Mr_500 3 weeks ago
Awesome idea and I’ve been looking into this all day…. Is there any plan to get it into the UK or is there any way a UK resident could use this product? Assume it needs FCA licence?
What happens when you retire and don’t have “income” any more, or if you decide you want to get off the train for some reason?
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Libertadd 2 weeks ago
Coffee King Howard Schultz Flees To Florida Hours After Washington Wealth Tax Passes House The dRat hypocrisy.