Pivot pivot pivot.
I'm not going to play the price is right with qbits.
Somewhere in that gap between 24 qbits held for a few microseconds and ~2000 held for hours to do shor on one Bitcoin key, the ceiling is lurking.
But how do we know the ceiling is low? I think that is where you are going.
Because we have reproduced in these labs - with cold and quiet and indirection through codes, etc. - the coldest quietest corners of the universe.
But you can't get quieter than silence. You can't get colder than absolute zero. And that's where we find the ceiling.
Because the physics doesn't change. All we can do is remove noise. But you can't isolate the system from itself.
We are assymptoticslly approaching total isolation. Which means we are asymptotically approaching the ceiling.
And it is no where near 2k qbits for hours.
You can't show me evidence of anything that approaches that scale because it doesn't exist.
We will get a really precise picture of where the ceiling is, and that is a cool scientific result. But we will not get a QC that can run shor on a Bitcoin key.
We have enough data to say with confidence that that is physically impossible. More every day.
I am not surprised by all the prize winners and bag holders and dreamers who don't want to admit this openly. People are weak to temptation. But this is not Bitcoin's concern.
Tick tock, next block.
