Undisciplined
undisciplined@stacker.news
npub1t49k...4jj5
Convex combination of Ron Swanson and Britta Perry
Cohost of The Stacker Sports Podcast
Trump imposes large tariffs in first year?
Check out this new prediction market. I think there's a very good chance of higher tariffs in year one. Trump's always loved tariffs.
What do you think? Is the 6% average tariff rate too high?
# Description
> Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to YES if the US weighted average tariff reaches at least 6% in any quarter of 2025. As of Q2 2024, the weighted average tariff is 2.4%, with the highest level during Trump’s previous presidency reaching 3.5%. The market will resolve based on calculations by Callum Williams, senior economics writer at The Economist. • If by the fourth quarter of 2025, the tariff has not crossed 6%, the market will resolve to NO. • If any initial estimate or revision for Q1-Q3 2025 shows the tariff exceeding 6% while the market is open, the market will resolve to YES immediately. • The Q4 number will be based on initial data, and the market will close once that data is available. If a different president takes office during 2025, the market will continue to resolve based on the US weighted tariff average under the same rules. If Callum Williams is unavailable, a suitable replacement will be found. Data Source: US Weighted Average Tariff (FRED): 
Callum Williams on X (Twitter): 
originally posted at 
Predyx | Advanced Prediction Markets with Lightning Network
Trump imposes large tariffs in first year?
Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to YES if the US weighted average tariff reaches at least 6% in any quarter of 2025. As of Q2 2024, t...
Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100
Graph and download economic data for Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to t...
X (formerly Twitter)
Callum Williams (@econcallum) on X
Senior economics writer, The Economist. Book "The Classical School"
Stacker News
Trump imposes large tariffs in first year? \ stacker news
Check out this new prediction market. I think there's a very good chance of higher tariffs in year one. Trump's always loved tariffs. What do you t...
Make your Predyxions at Predicts, the first lightning network powered prediction market.
Stacker News
What is a Prediction Market, and Why Should You Care? \ stacker news
What is a Prediction Market, and Why Should You Care? Have you ever wished you could see into the future? While crystal balls might be the stuff of...
@GrayRuby and I are very hopeful for next season.
Are we just being delusional homers?
Fountain
Homer Corner: 49ers and Raiders • Clip by @undisciplined • Listen on Fountain
Clipped from Stacker Sports Pod • Episode 11: We've got the Power Rankings (again), NFL playoff contenders and pretenders
Undisciplined and Gray...
Kilosat-dollar parity is pretty convenient
Sat-cent parity will be even better