Use man math, strong math 💪 Measure from cycle top to cycle top 2013 - 2017 = 2,000% Gain ✅ 4 years later 2017 - 2021 = 360% Gain ✅ 4 years later 2021 - TODAY = 160% Gain ❌ —— 2021 - TODAY = Trash 🗑️ return factoring in inflation… Wake me up at 250k! 😴 —— Stay humble and stack sats for 12 years (2.5 cycles) 🧡

i'm not surprised that 2015 was the worst year i got rekt on bitfinex that year. that was the cryptokitties hack. shit, what other shennannigans happened that year? this was before the block size wars. ethereum arrived the year before. and even still, 2015 was 33% up! we are at 7% currently. the chances that it doesn't exceed 33% is 1/12 or so. haha. nice numbers, also... if we are at 7% now, what is 33% ok, so, at 99199, current price, that's 92255. 33% up is 122699. the odds are very much in favor of this year closing above that price. back of the envelope calculation, the average annual growth rate of bitcoin, aside from the 33% and the one -65%, out of 13 years, that gives you 1/6th chance of a price under 33 and 1/12th chance at negative. so what happened in 2022 that made such a low result? ah. the terra/luna depeg, celsius, and all that other shit that turned me into a maxi. considering that the two lowest yield years of its history were affected by a massive amount of fraud, a massive hack of ethereum, (two i think, actually, iirc, the DAO hack was 2015), and a massive hack of bitfinex. these are fairly substantial justifications for reducing their influence on the statistical pattern because those two years were exceptionally fucked up. and i think that you can probably say that 2025 had pretty severe headwinds also due to the core spam issue. and another interesting pattern here: the two worst years of bitcoin directly followed some insanely good years. 1000%+ against -65% and 33% average those out and the result was... hmmm 300% over 2 years and some 1200% over another two years. shit, you should apply an averaging filter over these, to see what the averaged out two period window gives you. i'm pretty sure, on a two year window basis, you are looking at a consistent, and dramatic upward trajectory. it only looks bad in the 1 year window. on the 12 year window it's like you got infected with midas' touch.

Yee buddy

​I think quantum and AI stocks deflating could temporarily put a wrench into everything. We'll see how it plays out. Eventually, the AI bubble will burst because the numbers don't make sense: the amount being spent compared to the peanuts they make. Sentiment is real bad right now. My guess they figure out a new scheme to print money. How bad do they let it get first. QE is coming.

i think the thing that people are not seeing is really obvious and right in front of you. what is the most popular topic in southern and eastern europe regarding politics? corruption. here in madeira. in portugal. in spain, in france, in germany, england, and in eastern europe this meme is very popular in politics and emerged there first. the line between routing out corruption, and purging an enemy who is on the back foot, is very very thin. putin's war agains the oligarchs was a "war against corruption" they like to use that "war on X" meme, has worked out really well. war on drugs. war on crime. war on cold viruses. what better way to hide the fact that you are in fact consolidating power, than manufacturing the pretense of reformation?