- Many people refer to the aggregate of all lightning channels as 'The Lightning Network' but this is a false premise. There is no singular 'Lightning Network' but rather many payment channels between distinct peers, some connected with each other and some not. - Lightning as an interoperable payment protocol between professional custodians seems to have found solid product market fit. Expect significant volume, adoption, and usage going forward. - Lightning as a robust sovereign payment protocol has yet to be battle tested. Heavy reliance on Tor, which has had massive reliability issues, the friction of active liquidity management, interactivity constraints on mobile, and lack of strong privacy guarantees put it at risk.

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Key points here on what we consider as "the Lightning Network" Also noteworthy: - it's one of many approaches to scaling without increasing L1 block size - its scaling mechanics means that it does not replace the need for onchain transactions, it simply optimises onchain usage (and in some cases has the potential to drastically do so) View quoted note β†’
There's no need to introduce the concept of multiple lightning networks; it's unnecessary nuance. Lightning functions similarly to the Internet with many interconnections, some of which will not work reliably. Success is not guaranteed for custodial lightning providers that will be easy targets for regulators concerned about sanctions, terrorism, etc. The future of sovereign lightning operations has fewer embedded assumptions and (with good privacy practices) be able to effectively bypass regulatory clampdown around private payments. Continued operations will be highly valuable to be the steadfast, reliable, and counterparty-risk-free option in a world of traditional payments plagued by debt. Don't ignore the market incentives to improve the user experience for sovereign lightning because this market is gargantuan.
Yes, Lightning is the ethno-religious jew of Bitcoin. White but not white. A network layer 2 when its proponents market in public, individual failures when anything bad happens.
Agreed. I think if you might actually see an uptick in sovereign lightning routers if regulators seek to stamp it out.
I'm ready to hear Odell "lightning network(s)" corrections during RHR a long side Mempool(s) corrections now.
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