Replies (6)
Dont threaten me with a good time
Honestly, I don't think so.
Eu is deeply divided and and will never agree on any strong response.
You can see it already in response to Russia.
Several important points:
- EU is on brink of economic collapse with each country dependent on exports to US and US energy (German LNG !) in varying degree, most countries definitely more dependent on us then Denmark.
-we are already worn out by war with Russia
-eurodollar: most of international contracts are in USD that only US can provide and financial institutions are short against their USTs holdings. If this level of volatility would be even planned by some politician, bankers would explain them really fast how business is done ..
In reality US holds most of the cards. Text looks like TDS leftie fantasy ..
At the end nobody profits from scenario described here and even though this would be "principled" approach, nobody is better then their incentives.
If we could still hot swap Mark Rutte before this al goes down. I have reservations about his backbone.
I think it’s more in first place how NATO would have to deal with it and at this point every economy is flashing red in some sense. We would also be describing here one of the west largest self inflicted wounds of fairly historic proportions. We’ll see how it pans out, just thought it was an interesting take to keep track of for future reference. ✌️
I think there will be deal done, because nobody can afford NATO falling apart and US has us by balls since Russia attacked Ukraine.
But relationships will definitely sour.
"West" is defiantly falling apart already just by Trump floating this idea.
Not sure what a deal would look like except for increasing military presence by the US and they have been pretty clear on the fact they are not looking to lease. Time will tell but it’s quite the 🥒