We kinda already knew the vibes are off....
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Bitcoin as Digital Gold vs. P2P Cash:
The narrative around Bitcoin has shifted significantly. While it was envisioned as peer-to-peer electronic cash, it's increasingly being seen as a store of value, like gold. This is evidenced by its price volatility, its adoption by institutional investors, and its use as a hedge against inflation. The focus has moved away from everyday transactions.
Reserves and Distribution:
Personal cold wallets act as individual reserves. It highlights the concentration of Bitcoin ownership. Im concerned that by the time mass adoption by peers occurs, most Bitcoin will be held by governments, corporations, and early adopters, leaving less for the general public. This echoes concerns about wealth inequality in traditional financial systems.
The Role of Governments and Corporations:
These entities are now heavily involved in Bitcoin. Their influence is undeniable, whether through regulations, investments, or even holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets. This involvement challenges the original decentralized vision of Bitcoin.
Scarcity and the Hard Cap:
Bitcoin's hard cap, while intended to create scarcity, could backfire. It might allow those who accumulate Bitcoin early on to exert undue influence, effectively replicating the centralized control of traditional finance. This is a valid concern. If a small group controls a significant portion of the Bitcoin supply, they could manipulate the market or restrict access for others.
The Missed Opportunity for Change:
Occupy Wall Street and the pursuit of Bitcoin ETFs, SBRs, etc highlights the tension between systemic change and mainstream adoption. While ETFs etc can increase accessibility, they also integrate Bitcoin into the existing financial system, potentially diluting its revolutionary potential. The concern is that this integration appears to reinforce existing power structures rather than dismantling them as intended.
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I will say this on a more positive note. I don't think we have 100% missed our opportunity for change.
As long as we can use Bitcoin in a permissionless manner, even if it becomes illegal or whatever, It genuinely does not matter what the state does or what politicians do or what corporations do.
Right now, at least in my mind, things are definitely fucked and heading in the wrong direction. At least in a lot of ways, but there are still silver linings in this cloud.