https://ai-2027.com/
https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/
We appear to be hitting the "Reliable agent" section of the AI takeoff timeline. o4 is probably a real human level coder at this point if the Codeforces benchmarks are anything to go by.
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https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/04/a-note-on-o3-and-agi.html
Tyler Cowen is calling o3 and o4-mini AGI. If we’ve hit the point where LLM models can actually handle being set loose on a code base and doing useful work, the takeoff may really have started.
I’m not completely sold yet that this is it. But it’s the first time that it feels close. I’ve never had this feeling before. It feels like the beginning of autocatalysis is breathing down our necks.
nostr:nevent1qqs8fzev0txhrdnn4ec5wzrdxzuw87pmjgwjgt4lu30stfju0n6p0jq7e4qts