If bitcoin dropped to $50,000, this would fit a curve drawn through the bottom 1% of bitcoin prices over time. By the end of the year, this curve will go through $60,000. So far, the best curve (of reasonable complexity) says price today would be about $111,000. Under 80% of that curve, I buy. Between 80% and 140%, I hodl. Between 140-150% I will take chips off the table and hodl in dollars until we get back down to 80% or under. (10^-16.62)×(days since 1/3/2009))^5.71 This is a reasonably conservative formula derived from data up to late 2024…data from 2011-2016 yields highly variably curve fits but after mid 2016, but best fit curves for 2011-20xx where xx>16 are all very darn close to each other.