interesting thought. i was dismissing the idea that price will not go up until after the August resolution. i'm starting to think that it's actually true. --for bitcoiners it's the spam war --for suitcoiners it's the Clarity Act stalling for the last year --for investors it's the AI buildout --for cycle theory people, it's October --for macroeconomists it's the Fed turning hawkish, which might just turn back dovish again in time for the election all of these issues may resolve close to the same time in the next couple months.

Price will not start to go up until October at the earliest. And this will have no correlation to this debate, but more likely be tied to the halving cycle dynamics. Historically the bottom happens precisely around one year after the last ATH. This was October 6, 2025. That’s why I’m saying the USD chart is misleading. The real signal is the Bitcoin vs Gold chart.

Currently the market is pricing victory for the Bitcoin-as-money narrative. Trend will almost certainly reverse if the prediction doesn’t hold.

ok, that's good news