I'm not well versed on Matrix so I'll take that at face value. I mean if along those lines the center of nostr is generally compliant and respectful of these laws, and whoever wants to play fast and loose can do so on the fringes, then that sounds reasonable to me. That said, it's hard to picture a world where Primal, Amethyst, Damus, nos.lol, nostr.band, other big infra things, say hey look, we're very visible and so we're going to play by the rules here, if you want to play fast and loose then go elsewhere. Feels like if that happened then Nostr would just implode on the spot. What I hope is that some kind of mainstream normie-friendly and law-respecting Nostr emerges and somehow doesn't cause an implosion. Maybe that's possible.

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Matrix is a federated protocol, so you can have a different home server and still talk to the majority of the network. Whats most likely is that instances who object to the risk is just a banning of missisipi ip's. And then its up to the people there to find a way to get back in. Nostr is a protocol though, you can have stuff like ditto.pub which is more filtered (they have some kind of spam filter) and very peer to peer options over tor like amethyst. So if there is a desire for very regulated nostr sites and relays that would be possible and its up to them to allow outside relay connections or not. But if they don't it has no real value for them to use nostr to begin with other than the identity carrying over. Thankfully the big ones tend to just be open to other clients or allow adding additional relays you wish to post to.