i would agree with you in previous cycles. however with the perpetual bid from institutions and nation states, this time really is different. happy to be wrong here, but this is not our normal cycle. i think the blowout top bull and bottom-barrel bear cycles are no more. we're in a new phase for bitcoin.
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It would be nice if the last 3 years of stair stepper growth became the new normal. Nobody losing their shirts for 3 years, that's what significantly hurts adoption.