I hope Mastodon succeeds in general, just because it's much closer in form to Nostr.. But I guess people have to actually want a decentralized platform to succeed, not just be "Twitter without Elon", aka Bluesky...
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I don't see how mastodon is close 'in form' to Nostr at all. In intent perhaps
CloseER than Bluesky / legacy social media. Federation vs one big centralized platform.