The March report looks steady on the surface 178,000 jobs added, unemployment ticked down to 4.3% but a few undercurrents are worth watching. February was revised and the labor force actually shrank by 396,000 people, meaning the unemployment rate improved partly because fewer people were looking for work, not because the job market got dramatically better. The number of marginally attached workers jumped by 325,000 and discouraged workers rose by 144,000. Long-term unemployment (27+ weeks) is up 322,000 over the year and now accounts for over a quarter of all unemployed. Federal government employment continues to bleed and financial activities are also trending down. Health care carried the month but a big chunk of that was physicians returning from a strike rather than organic growth. Wage growth at 0.2% month-over-month and 3.5% year-over-year is cooling. Net this is a labor market that's holding together at the headline level but showing increasing signs of softening underneath, particularly in labor force participation, duration of unemployment, and the growing ranks of discouraged workers.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf
