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Prediction Market Volumes Surge to $63.5B Amid CertiK Warnings The prediction market sector saw a massive surge in 2025, with trading volumes quadrupling to $63.5 billion. However, a report from CertiK highlights structural vulnerabilities, including incentive-driven activity and fragile security architectures. While major platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, and Opinion dominate, CertiK warns of risks such as wash trading and potential price divergence between platforms. Hybrid Web2/Web3 designs, while simplifying onboarding, increase the attack surface. A December 2025 incident involving Magic Labs underscored the need for comprehensive security audits beyond just smart contracts. Entering 2026, the industry faces a fragmented regulatory landscape and questions about long-term sustainability as subsidies decrease. Maintaining forecasting accuracy and technical defenses will be crucial for future growth.
Bitcoin Crashes to $60,000, Potentially Halving Bear Cycle Bitcoin (BTC) has recently fallen to $59,930, a significant downturn for the cryptocurrency market. According to Kaiko Research, this correction might indicate the "halfway point" of the current bear market. This drop in early February 2026 marks Bitcoin's lowest valuation since October 2024, signaling an end to the post-halving euphoria and the beginning of a more challenging corrective period. On-chain data shows a 32% crash, with trading volumes declining significantly and futures open interest dropping. While $60,000 aligns with the 200-week moving average, some analysts suggest a true bottom could be between $40,000 and $50,000, based on historical drawdowns of 60% to 68%. Despite bearish signals, some anticipate a rebound, with recovery being a matter of "when, not if."
Bitcoin Volatility Leads to $250M in Liquidations The Bitcoin market experienced significant volatility, resulting in over $250 million in leveraged positions being liquidated within 24 hours. A sharp surge towards $71,000 led to $130 million in short liquidations, followed by a drop to $68,500, triggering $150 million in long liquidations. Analysts note that bears are attempting to regain control, with large holders selling assets. Concerns also exist regarding fresh capital inflows not matching increased miner outflows to exchanges, potentially weakening market support.
‍Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Hits 2022 Lows: Potential Price Bottom Near? Bitcoin (BTC) has reached critical levels not seen since the 2022 bear market. The Mayer Multiple, measuring BTC's price against its 200-day moving average, fell to 0.65 on February 9, signaling extreme oversold conditions. This level, historically associated with major buying opportunities, matches lows seen in May 2022. While on-chain data suggests undervaluation, analysts caution further downside is possible. The 200-week moving average at $58,000 is a key support, but extreme scenarios could see prices retest the $40,000-$52,000 range. Investors are watching liquidity zones between $50,000 and $58,000 for signs of a definitive bottom.
‍Phantom Wallet Targeted in $264K Address Poisoning Attack The Phantom crypto wallet has experienced a security breach resulting in the loss of approximately 3.5 WBTC, valued at $264,000. The incident, identified as an address poisoning attack, exploited vulnerabilities in the wallet's built-in messaging feature. This sophisticated phishing technique involves scammers sending negligible amounts of cryptocurrency to a target's wallet to "pollute" the transaction history. Malicious addresses often mimic the beginning and end characters of legitimate contacts, leading users to accidentally copy the attacker's address during transfers. The attack has intensified discussions on the need for advanced spam filtering and improved user experience in non-custodial wallet applications. Industry leaders are calling for proactive security measures, including mandatory blockchain queries to identify "poison addresses" before transactions are executed.
‍OSN Launches New Philippines–UAE Blockchain Corridor for Payments OSN (Open Stable Network) has activated a new payment corridor connecting the Philippines and the UAE, aiming to streamline enterprise fund transfers by integrating fiat currencies with stablecoin liquidity. This initiative bypasses traditional correspondent banking inefficiencies, offering transaction costs up to 50% lower than legacy platforms. The corridor supports fiat currencies like USD, AED, EUR, and PHP, and various stablecoins, with reduced latency and broad reach. It addresses the significant economic link between the UAE and the Philippines, benefiting nearly 900,000 Filipino professionals employed in the UAE. Lawrence Chu, Co-Founder of OSN, stated, "High-volume corridors like UAE–Philippines are where modern payment rails deliver the greatest impact." Abdulla Al Dhaheri, CEO of The Blockchain Center Abu Dhabi, highlighted the importance of transparency and settlement speed provided by blockchain-enabled systems.
‍Uphold Launches "Early Paycheck" Feature for U.S. Customers Uphold has introduced its "Early Paycheck" feature, allowing U.S. customers with Direct Deposits to access their funds up to two days earlier than traditional banking schedules. This initiative aims to enhance liquidity and financial flexibility within the digital asset ecosystem by bridging traditional banking with on-chain finance. The service is available to all U.S. clients who deposit their salary into their Uphold account. Nancy Beaton, President of Uphold U.S., stated, “At Uphold, we believe you shouldn’t have to wait for the money you’ve already earned. Our goal is to make your money work harder for you.” Uphold operates on a 100% reserve model, publishes its assets and liabilities every 30 seconds, integrates with over 30 trading venues, and adheres to regulations from FinCen, FCA, and the Bank of Portugal.
‍Blockchain.com Secures FCA Registration for UK Operations Prominent digital asset service provider Blockchain.com has officially achieved registration as a crypto asset business with the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). This regulatory milestone formalizes the company's operations within the British market, enabling expansion of brokerage and custodial services to retail and institutional clients under rigorous oversight. Founded in York and headquartered in London, Blockchain.com has facilitated over $1.2 trillion in crypto transactions and supports over 90 million wallets globally. This FCA status, alongside a previously acquired MiCA license, positions the company to navigate complex regulatory landscapes in Western markets efficiently. As the UK develops its digital asset regime, this compliance effort is expected to bolster investor confidence and accelerate digital asset adoption.
‍Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Analysts Divided on $84K Rally vs. $55K Floor Bitcoin (BTC) faces a critical juncture, with analysts debating its immediate future. Following a correction from its October 2025 peak, BTC has stabilized around $68,500. Some predict a short squeeze to $84,000, citing overcrowded bearish positions and institutional resilience. Others foresee a "gravity phase," with prices potentially drifting towards $55,000 due to macroeconomic pressures. Nicholas Motz, CEO of ORQO Group, noted, "As price refuses to break down, we anticipate a 'pain trade' where trapped shorts are forced to cover, sending the market vertical." However, some warn of a cooling-off period, suggesting BTC could consolidate between $45,000 and $55,000 for the next 6-12 months.
‍Autozi Internet Technology Acquires $1.87B in Digital Assets for Fintech Pivot Autozi Internet Technology (Global) Ltd. has acquired digital assets valued at $1.87 billion for $1.1 billion, signaling a strategic shift into Web3 and fintech. The portfolio includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, public chain tokens, and stablecoin infrastructure. The company is partnering with a global cryptocurrency institution to develop a Digital Asset Treasury management system and compliant cryptocurrency payment infrastructure. This move aims to enhance asset resilience and leverage distributed ledger technology for global operations.
‍GENIUS Act & MiCA: Reshaping the Stablecoin Market New regulations in the US (GENIUS Act) and EU (MiCA) are set to transform the stablecoin landscape. The focus is shifting from reserve transparency to the legal rights of holders, creating a divide between "constitutional cash" and "synthetic assets." Tier 1 tokens will offer statutory redemption rights and high-quality reserves, while Tier 2 will include yield-bearing products that may reprice as risk assets. The SVB crisis highlighted the need for robust redemption liquidity and legal priority, influencing these stringent new requirements. Both regions aim for stability, but with differing approaches: the US emphasizes a strict separation between money and investments, while the EU enshrines enforceable redemption rights. Multi-issuance and potential "run magnets" remain key concerns for regulators.
‍PBoC Reports 5% GDP Growth for 2025, Signals Monetary Easing The People's Bank of China (PBoC) has confirmed the national economy achieved its 5% GDP growth target for 2025 in its Q4 Monetary Policy Execution Report. The central bank highlighted its adoption of a moderately loose monetary policy, utilizing financial instruments to strengthen counter-cyclical adjustments and ensure liquidity for the real economy. This monetary easing, while focused domestically, may influence global liquidity and cryptocurrency markets, as historically observed with Chinese policy shifts impacting risk assets.
‍Defiance Capital reallocates 75% of assets to international markets Prominent investor Kyle from Defiance Capital has shifted 75% of his investment portfolio to non-US markets. This strategic move is driven by observations of a structural bull market in international equities, contrasting with significant bidirectional volatility (exceeding 20% in four months) and currency devaluation risks in North American markets. The investor's analysis indicates a divergence in global economic trends, with non-US territories perceived to offer more stable growth potential. This reallocation highlights growing caution regarding Western financial hubs and underscores the importance of geographical diversification.
‍GoMining Launches Simple Earn for Autonomous Bitcoin Yield Generation GoMining has introduced Simple Earn, a new feature enabling users to generate yield directly in Bitcoin (BTC) through a simplified interface. The system autonomously routes assets into secure earning protocols, distributing rewards every four hours and auto-compounding earnings without lock-up periods. Yield is influenced by market conditions and VIP levels within the GoMining ecosystem. "One button, and your assets start working for you autonomously," stated CEO Mark Zalan, aiming to simplify DeFi for users. The feature expands GoMining's offerings, which include mining and a payment card, servicing over 5 million users globally. Simple Earn is currently unavailable to US residents.
‍MEXC AI Trading Suite Surpasses 2.35 Million Users in Six Months The MEXC cryptocurrency exchange reports that its AI trading suite has attracted 2.35 million users since its launch in August 2025. The platform has recorded over 10.8 million interactions, with an average of 93,095 daily active users. The MEXC-AI bot is the most popular feature, accounting for 51% of suite activity. The AI infrastructure successfully handled increased volumes during the market flash crash on October 11, 2025. "We applied artificial intelligence to solve concrete trading challenges and deliver measurable value to users," stated Vugar Usi Zade, COO of MEXC. "Technology only matters if it helps users act faster and with more clarity, especially when volatility hits."
‍Wintermute Forecasts Bitcoin Consolidation Amidst Falteiring Demand Market maker Wintermute reports that Bitcoin is entering a consolidation phase due to a lack of institutional demand and macroeconomic headwinds. Recent deleveraging events, triggered by factors including Fed Chair nominations and disappointing tech earnings, have seen $2.7 billion in leveraged positions liquidated. Sustained outflows from Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. (totaling $6.2 billion since November) and increased investor focus on the AI sector further contribute to market pressure. Low spot trading volumes indicate insufficient demand for a sustained breakout, suggesting Bitcoin's price action may remain range-bound without new catalysts.
‍China to Deploy AI in Public Bidding Systems by Late 2026 The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) into China's public bidding and tendering infrastructure. This initiative aims to modernize public procurement through automation and digital intelligence, enhancing transparency and efficiency. By the end of 2026, pilot provinces will implement AI for automated tender document review and bid evaluation assistance, including identifying bid-rigging schemes and automating compliance checks. Nationwide expansion is targeted by the end of 2027. The move aims to eliminate human error and reduce corruption, aligning with global trends of AI and blockchain intersection for verifiable public spending records.
‍Gemini Exits UK, EU, and Australia, Focusing on US and Singapore Gemini has announced its withdrawal from the UK, EU, and Australia markets to concentrate on operations in the US and Singapore. This move has prompted concerns regarding the UK's regulatory landscape, with industry experts citing an "unfinished rulebook" and high compliance costs as deterrents for established platforms. Susie Violet Ward, CEO of Bitcoin Policy UK, stated, "Capital goes where it can operate with clarity and confidence. The UK is currently a harder place to deploy capital than jurisdictions offering clearer frameworks." The UK is transitioning to a comprehensive authorization regime under the Financial Services and Markets Act (FSMA), with a specific application window from September 30, 2026, to February 28, 2027. The new prudential regime is expected to be fully effective by October 25, 2027. The future success of the UK crypto sector hinges on the FCA's ability to balance regulatory ambition with operational feasibility.
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‍Vitalik Buterin Proposes Decentralized Ethereum Strategy for AI Safety Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has outlined a strategy for AI development centered on decentralization and safety, leveraging the Ethereum blockchain. His proposal, based on a four-quadrant framework, emphasizes privacy-centric infrastructure and cryptographic verification to empower users rather than enable centralized control. Key aspects include private AI interactions using ZK payments, economic layers for bot-to-bot commerce on Ethereum, and cypherpunk verification for smart contract auditing. This approach contrasts with centralized AI models, aiming to establish Ethereum as a foundational layer for autonomous agents and agentic commerce, ensuring transparency and decentralized accountability in AI's evolution.
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‍Fed’s Waller: Crypto Euphoria Fades as TradFi Ties Strengthen Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller noted that the initial euphoria surrounding digital assets is cooling, attributing this to increased integration with traditional finance. Institutional investors are adjusting risk mandates, leading to market recalibrations and price corrections, with Bitcoin experiencing a significant dip from its peak. The Fed also plans to introduce "payment accounts" for fintech and crypto firms by late 2025, offering limited central bank access. These accounts will have balance limits and will not earn interest, aiming to foster innovation while managing systemic risk. Waller stated that market volatility is an inherent characteristic of this asset class.