Read 132 VC Predictions for 2026 by MuprhCapital
Quintfecta:
1. Agents
2. Models
3. Robotics
4. Payments
5. Monetization
Meowpc
npub165x6...8lvx
Somehow, there are many protocols distributing revenue to token holders sitting at P/E below 10x
Disproving Latest Thesis
[Undisproveable]
Real Time Blockchains
Decentralized Science
RWA Derivatives (new)
[Defficient Innovation]
Impact Markets
Decentralized AI
[Nonsense]
Hyperfinancialization
Tokenized commodities
Tokenized stocks
Tokenized bonds
All cool. No place in crypto. This market has high risk appetite.
Memecoins never die
Derivatives never die
Option primitives are dead
Long live option primitives
MegaETH has 20K TPS *demand* while other chains have 100K+ TPS *supply*
If Jevon's paradox take effect then MegaETH could surpass 100K+ TPS *demand* in months
ETH won for speed
Alt-EVM won for speed
Solana won for speed
The market always want speed
If weather is not about forecasting but data collecting, then WeatherXM could be a 1000x opportunity
AiOS 27 could be the biggest fail in this decade
Google is privacy nightmare
It's that simple
Suddenly I reminded to my naive take on crypto penetration in Asia especially China
Crypto is global.
FDA and EMA are starting to look on psychedelics
Bryan Johson had taken psychedelics literally
Meanwhile PsyDAO is priced under $1M
A new ATH by EOY and The 4 Year Cycle broken
Finally, a babygirl
Some coins are generating revenue. I avoid those coins. 0 revenue does not have limits
Though it's possible for the market to trade them at hundreds of multiples for a moat, usually the brand
X Smart Cashtags is coming
"Consumer" apps are disguised hyperfinancialization
Base, Monad, MegaETH, are all in the same direction
All of them zero sum. Exception on prediction markets
Real consumer apps is coming in the next cycle after someone truly build HTTPS for crypto
Market shocked for SEND
I believe in Yash and team
1.4m for a DeAI is a bargain
Acquired 0.05% of supply
Risk always there
Go big or go home
(I'm scared)
Believing in something intangible is harder than believing in something tangible
By breaking normie barrier, I'm pointing to public figures outside the finance industry.
Prediction markets became mainstream but it's not for normie.
DeAI DeFAI X402 whatever unlikely to break the normie barrier due to power user.
I have no idea what will break the barrier. I believe it's a social app built on RTS blockchains.
Multiplayer Games? Gambling? Tap trading? Content coins? DeSci? NFT again?
All of them are reasonable and unreasonable. I'm betting on the infra: MegaETH and Magicblock.
Time will tell
My Hope-Thesis for 2026
MetaDAO
BioDAOs
MegaETH
Magicblock
My Anti-Thesis for 2026
Prediction Markets
Creator Coins
DeAI
2 years ago I believed local LLM will dominate the AI industry.
How naive I am
Distribution is everything
I notice not a single 2026 crypto predictions mention DeAI like Ritual, Pluralis, Gensyn, Nous, or PrimeIntellect
It could mean it's not mature yet
It could mean it's overlooked
Time will tell
This year I lost -95%
-25% from options
-25% from memes
Do the math and I lost only an extra -5%
That's the trap of linearity
Actual loss is -20x
-10x if I opted out from options and memes
-2x if I opted in for cash
Think in exes
Truemarkets killed by kalshi x cnn
X402 birthed and massacred by coinbase
For the better or worse