“It’s not a recession that’s going to hit the U.S. and the world – it’s a total breakdown of the monetary system.” — Ray Dalio #quotestr #economy

🧵 Thread: 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝟤𝟢𝟤𝟨 𝘿𝙚𝙗𝙩 𝙒𝙖𝙡𝙡 1/ A "Maturity Wall" is coming. By 2026, the U.S. Treasury faces a massive financial hurdle that could reshape the economy. We’re talking about nearly $10 Trillion in debt coming due in a single year. Here’s why 2026 is a "ticking time bomb." 👇 2/ First, let’s look at the numbers. As of late 2025, roughly 33% of all marketable U.S. debt is scheduled to mature within the next 12–18 months. This isn’t a gradual slope; it’s a vertical peak in the data. 📈 3/ Why is it so concentrated in 2026? During the pandemic and the high-inflation years of 2023-24, the Treasury leaned heavily on short-term "T-Bills" and 2-year Notes. The result? A massive "pile-up" of expirations all hitting at the same time. 🧱 4/ This creates a Refinancing Crisis. The U.S. doesn't "pay off" debt; it rolls it over. It issues new bonds to pay the old ones. The problem? Much of the debt expiring in 2026 was issued at 0.5% to 1.5% interest. 5/ Refinancing $10T at today's rates (around 3.5%–4.5%) means interest costs are exploding. Total net interest outlays are projected to hit $1.1 Trillion in 2026. For the first time in history, we are spending more on interest than on the entire National Defense budget. 💸 6/ Who pays for this? When interest eats up 20%+ of all federal tax revenue, "something has to give." • A: Higher Taxes 📈 • B: Drastic Spending Cuts ✂️ • C: More Money Printing (Inflation) 🖨️ • D: A mix of all three. 7/ Ray Dalio calls this the "Late Cycle" phase. When a superpower’s debt costs outpace its growth, it enters a period of high volatility. 2026 is the year this structural reality moves from a "future problem" to an "immediate math problem." 🧮 8/ Is it a total collapse? Not necessarily. The U.S. still has "Reserve Currency" status and high demand for its bonds. But the margin for error is gone. 2026 is the year the "Cheap Debt Era" officially ends, and the bill comes due. 9/ Summary: - $10T maturing in 2026 (1/3 of all public debt). • Interest costs now exceed $1T/year. • Refinancing cheap debt into expensive debt is the primary driver of the deficit. Keep an eye on the 2026 maturity wall. It’s the gravity the markets can’t ignore. 📉🔚

𝙈𝙚𝙧𝙧𝙮 𝘾𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙞𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙖 𝙃𝙖𝙥𝙥𝙮 𝙉𝙚𝙬 𝙁𝙚𝙖𝙧

𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚖𝚊𝚙 𝚒𝚜 𝚗𝚘𝚝 𝚝𝚑𝚎 𝚝𝚎𝚛𝚛𝚒𝚝𝚘𝚛𝚢.

We all live inside a personal #perception bubble. 🫧 Our mental filter is crafted from: • Memories • Beliefs • Traumas • Habits

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"𝙋𝘼𝙔𝙄𝙉𝙂" 𝘼𝙏𝙏𝙀𝙉𝙏𝙄𝙊𝙉 𝙄𝙎 "𝘽𝙐𝙔𝙄𝙉𝙂" 𝙍𝙀𝘼𝙇𝙄𝙏𝙔 𝙄𝙉𝙑𝙀𝙎𝙏 𝙔𝙊𝙐𝙍 𝘼𝙒𝘼𝙍𝙀𝙉𝙀𝙎𝙎 𝙒𝙄𝙎𝙀𝙇𝙔

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𝚊 𝚏𝚛𝚎𝚎 𝚖𝚒𝚗𝚍 𝚔𝚗𝚘𝚠𝚜 𝚗𝚘 𝚋𝚘𝚞𝚗𝚍𝚜; 𝚒𝚝 𝚠𝚊𝚗𝚍𝚎𝚛𝚜, 𝚎𝚡𝚙𝚕𝚘𝚛𝚎𝚜, 𝚊𝚗𝚍 𝚌𝚛𝚎𝚊𝚝𝚎𝚜, 𝚞𝚗𝚛𝚎𝚜𝚝𝚛𝚊𝚒𝚗𝚎𝚍 𝚋𝚢 𝚝𝚑𝚎 𝚗𝚎𝚎𝚍 𝚏𝚘𝚛 𝚊𝚙𝚙𝚛𝚘𝚟𝚊𝚕 𝚘𝚛 𝚌𝚘𝚗𝚜𝚎𝚗𝚝.

"The mind is like a lake. When it is still, it reflects the truth." - Zen #Proverbstr

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𝚝𝚑𝚎𝚢 𝚠𝚒𝚕𝚕 𝚓𝚞𝚍𝚐𝚎 𝚢𝚘𝚞 𝚊𝚗𝚢𝚠𝚊𝚢, 𝚜𝚘 𝚔𝚎𝚎𝚙 𝚐𝚘𝚒𝚗𝚐.

Are we merely echoing the #thoughts and merely #judgments imposed on us, or are we genuinely expressing our true, #sovereign nature?