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Trey
tshodl@nostrplebs.com
npub1m6y9...e2p9
VP, Sales, Unchained | Advisor to Cantilever | FIRE 🤝 Bitcoin | Banker turned bitcoiner: previously Truist, MetLife, Goldman Sachs, Deloitte Helping bitcoiners achieve financial independence and FIRE practitioners understand bitcoin at firebtc.substack.com
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trey 10 hours ago
When you start working, your paycheck is everything. It's how you pay bills, fund your life, and build your first savings. But here's the shift most people never make: that savings portfolio should become your primary wealth engine, not your job. Think of your investments as your real side gig. It starts small, but compounds relentlessly. Each dollar you invest becomes a worker that never sleeps, building wealth while you focus on other things. The people who reach financial freedom aren't the ones with the highest salaries. They're the ones who flipped the script — who built their balance sheet until it outpaced their labor. There's a moment when your assets create more new wealth in a year than your job ever could. That's when your job becomes the side hustle. Real wealth comes from ownership, not just labor. Your balance sheet is your ownership stake in the future. If you use bitcoin as your core savings vehicle, this transition can happen even more powerfully. Bitcoin's hard-capped supply makes it a uniquely strong foundational asset for a personal balance sheet.
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trey yesterday
Your personal finance journey works exactly like Super Mario Bros. Early on, you're just collecting coins and trying not to get flattened. Bills and debt are like Goombas—easy to dodge if you don't make a wrong move. Inflation is Lakitu overhead, constantly adding pressure. Eventually you find power-ups. 401(k) matches, index funds, expense reduction—they help, but they don't last forever. One surprise hit and you're back to small Mario. The real problem is that the fiat game is rigged. Your savings melt in the background no matter how careful you are. Even if you dodge every enemy, you end up at Bowser's castle. Bowser isn't just inflation—he's the entire fiat system. The reason your savings melt, the rules change mid-level, your freedom is always in another castle. Most people spend their lives collecting coins and chasing temporary power-ups, only to get burned at the castle gates. But hidden in the level is a warp pipe. Bitcoin is that warp pipe. It doesn't just protect your savings—it takes you off the fiat map entirely. Your coins don't melt. Your freedom isn't pushed into another castle. You're in control of the game. FIRE gives you the map to reach the castle and some power-ups along the way. Bitcoin gives you the warp pipe and the Star Power to make you invincible. In the fiat game, the princess is always in another castle. With FIRE + bitcoin, you can finally save her.
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trey 2 days ago
FIRE gave me a way out—not just from work, but from a career without direction. After 12 years in Corporate America, I felt like a cog in a big wheel, a number in someone else's spreadsheet. The commute was tiresome, the office environment was stale, and the lack of flexibility left a lot to be desired. I felt stuck. The FIRE approach is straightforward: build a savings and investment portfolio large enough to sustain your desired lifestyle without having to work. It's possible to implement a simple plan to create lasting wealth that doesn't require a radical change in your career or taking extraordinary risk. The FIRE movement is about taking a fresh perspective and being intentional in crafting that plan for yourself to accelerate the timeline of reaching financial independence, thereby freeing yourself from being dependent on a paycheck. Three core building blocks make it happen: **1. Intentional spending and understanding expenses** Understanding your expenses, both now and what you expect them to be in the future, is the first element to tackle. House, cars, groceries, taxes, gym memberships, kids' activities, vacations—all of this should be understood at a line-item level. Be ruthlessly intentional about which expenses are necessary and which are wasteful. If an expense is wasteful, eliminate it immediately. If it's necessary, find ways to minimize it. **2. Pay yourself first - maximize your savings rate** No matter what you earn, you can always save some of it. Whether it's 5%, 10%, 20%, 50%, or more, that proportion of any money earned should be immediately moved to your savings portfolio. Automate this savings process and figure out how to live on the remaining amount. Think of yourself as the CEO and CFO for your own personal finance company. Your primary objective is to maximize retained earnings. Any extra value saved today is payment to your future self ten-fold. **3. Buy and hold good assets** You can't just hold dollars (or other fiat currency), because doing so will make you poorer, not wealthier. The cost of goods and services you use every day continually gets more expensive over time due to a combination of monetary debasement and government intervention in the marketplace. Housing, healthcare, education—categories we all must spend money on that continually get costlier. Because of this purchasing power erosion, you must store your wealth in something other than fiat currency. Most FIRE practitioners choose the stock market and/or real estate. I choose bitcoin. Buying good assets allows you to maintain, and even grow, your purchasing power over time. This savings portfolio will be used to sustain your retirement lifestyle, and it needs to grow large enough so that you won't run out of money when you are no longer working. Earn, save, stack, repeat. When you understand your expenses, pay yourself first, and start stacking assets, you're well on your way to financial independence.
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trey 3 days ago
Most FIRE practitioners default to VTI and call it a day. Stack index funds, wait 20 years, done. But there's a problem with that approach. You're accepting whatever return the market gives you, which means accepting whatever timeline the market dictates. I ran an 8-year backtest comparing VTI-only portfolios against portfolios with bitcoin allocations. $100/week split between VTI and BTC at different ratios: 0%, 1%, 5%, 10%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 100%. The results are striking. A 100% BTC allocation grew the portfolio almost 7x larger than 100% VTI. Even a 25% BTC allocation more than doubled the portfolio size compared to VTI-only. The multiplier effect: every 1% increase in BTC allocation added 9.61% to total returns. That's not a small difference. That's the difference between retiring at 45 vs 55. The tradeoff? Volatility. Bitcoin dropped 84%, 72%, 55%, and 77% during four major drawdowns in that period. But here's what matters: if you're consistently stacking sats through those drawdowns, you're buying more when it's cheap. Early in your FIRE journey, volatility is a feature, not a bug. Your goal is to stack as much as you can as fast as you can. Deep drawdowns just accelerate that process. VTI is a solid choice for saving. Bitcoin is a better one. The question isn't whether to allocate—it's how much you're comfortable with.
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trey 4 days ago
Financial independence without sovereignty is just math on a spreadsheet. You can hit 25x your annual expenses and still need permission to access your own wealth. That's not independence. I joined Shawn Yeager on The Trust Revolution to talk about what happens when individuals stop asking permission to control their own money. We covered the infinite reserve illusion, why Bitcoin is more tangible than your bank balance, and how self-custody flips the power dynamic with financial advisors. The FIRE community has the discipline to build wealth. But if you can't actually access it without gatekeepers, intermediaries, and "processing times," you're still dependent. Bitcoin closes that loop. No custodians. No counterparty risk. Just direct ownership of what you've built. The conversation went places most FIRE discussions avoid. We talked about how the modern banking system doesn't run on fractional reserves anymore—the reserves are infinite because they'll just print them. We talked about tangibility—your bank balance is just a spot on an amorphous ledger you don't control, while Bitcoin keys are actual ownership. And we talked about sovereignty starting at home, scaling through example. Watch the full conversation. ---
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trey 5 days ago
Most personal finance gurus tell you to eliminate all debt. Pay off your mortgage. Live debt-free. But they're ignoring how money actually works in a credit-based system. Dollars are created from new debt and destroyed when debt is extinguished. This creates continuous expansion in the money supply, which means debasement of both existing debt and existing money. The people who refinanced their mortgages at 3% in 2020 didn't just save on interest. They locked in a liability that became progressively cheaper to repay as inflation ran at 9%. Meanwhile, they freed up capital to invest in assets appreciating faster than their borrowing cost. This is "speculative attack" — a concept Pierre Rochard wrote about in 2014. Borrow in a weak currency to buy a stronger asset. When inflation runs higher than your interest rate, your debt gets easier to pay off while your assets appreciate. Consider two scenarios for buying a $500k house in 2020: Scenario 1: Pay cash. You own a $640k house today. Scenario 2: Put 20% down, take a 3% mortgage, invest the $400k you didn't spend. You own a $640k house PLUS whatever those investments returned. I call this "Aikido finance" — using the momentum of the fiat system instead of fighting against it. Yes, debt carries risk. You need stable income to cover payments. But if you have the discipline to pursue FIRE, you already have the discipline to manage strategic debt. The fiat system runs on credit expansion and debasement. Like it or not, those with access to credit and an understanding of how to use it have a distinct advantage. You can ignore that reality or you can use it to reach financial independence faster.
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trey 6 days ago
Most people understand compound interest intellectually but don't feel it. The first year, your investment grows by $10. You feel a ripple. After ten years, a wave. After thirty years, a tsunami. FIRE isn't about striking it rich with one big win. It's about letting compound returns do the heavy lifting. Your $100 becomes $110, then $121, then $133. The gains build on themselves. The longer you let it ride, the faster it grows. Time is your advantage. Starting early means you need to save less. Waiting means you fight friction. A 25-year-old saving $500/month beats a 35-year-old saving $1,000/month if the returns are equal. Compounding works in reverse too. Credit card debt at 20% interest compounds against you. Outstanding balances become dangerous fast. The same force that builds wealth can crush you if you're on the wrong side of it. Einstein called compound interest the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it earns it. He who doesn't pays it. That's the difference between working until 65 and retiring at 40. Between hoping your money lasts and knowing it will.
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trey 1 week ago
FIRE people track their expenses to the penny. They stress over loyalty points and mortgage basis points. Bitcoiners obsess over MVRV ratios and exchange balances. Both groups think more measurement equals more control. But there's a trap here: mistaking information for insight and activity for progress. I run my numbers every morning over coffee. Takes 10 minutes. I track where cash flows, what my portfolio is worth, what my trailing 12-month expenses look like. That's it. The Pareto Principle applies: a small number of inputs drive most results. The rest is noise. What gets measured gets managed. But most people manage the wrong things. Track what matters. Simplify the rest. Trust your process. Bitcoin gives you radical transparency—you can verify the monetary policy, audit the ledger, hold your own keys. But that transparency is for validating the system, not for predicting price movements. Use measurement to clarify your path, not to shield yourself from uncertainty. Direction over perfection. ---
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trey 1 week ago
The personal finance world has convinced most people that a 6-12 month emergency fund in cash is the smartest financial move they can make. It's not. It's fear-based advice that destroys wealth through opportunity cost. Let's make it concrete: If your monthly expenses are $5k, conventional wisdom says stash $30k in a high-yield savings account earning 4%. Sounds safe. But inflation (M2 growth) runs roughly 7% per year. You're losing 3% annually in real purchasing power. Over 10 years, that $30k at 4% barely keeps up with nominal inflation. Meanwhile, the same money in stocks (12% CAGR) grows to ~$93k. In bitcoin (59% CAGR)? It grows to ~$1.9M. "But what if I lose my job?" Fair question. So let's model it with probability: 5% annual job loss rate means roughly 40% chance of at least one loss event over a decade. You lose your job at year 5. Stocks are down 30%, bitcoin down 60%. You sell monthly to cover expenses for 6 months. Even under those conditions, the expected value math STILL massively favors investing your liquidity. Cash protects you from a 40% probability of crisis. Investing protects you from the 100% certainty of erosion. The bigger your portfolio becomes, the less you need a separate emergency fund. Your liquidity becomes your safety net. Your growth becomes your protection. Financial independence isn't built by hoarding cash in fear—it's built by rejecting fear-based systems and replacing them with rational, self-sovereign ones. ---
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trey 1 week ago
Episode 1 of the new FIRE BTC podcast is live! 🎙️ Bitcoin, Career, and Building Wealth with Joe Burnett. 🔸Joe’s journey discovering BTC to working in the industry 🔸Building a life on a bitcoin standard 🔸Spending bitcoin, borrowing against it, and navigating relationships Watch it here:
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trey 1 week ago
Bitcoin maxis love to invoke Laszlo's $700M pizza purchase as proof you should never spend bitcoin. But they're getting opportunity cost completely backward. The common argument goes like this: "Don't spend bitcoin because it'll be worth $1M someday. Spend your dollars instead—they lose value anyway." Sounds plausible. It's also wrong. A $100 expense costs you $100 regardless of whether you pay in BTC or cash. The opportunity cost is the spending itself, not the medium. Here's what most people miss: You can spend bitcoin and immediately replace it with the cash you didn't spend. The "spend and replace" method achieves the same end result as just spending cash—your BTC stack stays intact. The real question isn't which money to spend. It's whether the expense is necessary or makes your life meaningfully better. Everything else is waste that delays financial independence. For FIRE practitioners, every expense cuts two ways at once: money spent could have been saved, and your FIRE number increases by 25x that expense under the 4% rule. Stop obsessing over which currency to use. Start questioning whether you should be spending at all. ---
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trey 1 week ago
The tax code is built for investors, not W-2 employees. If you reach FIRE and stop working, your W-2 income disappears. Now you're living off long-term capital gains from your portfolio, which are taxed at 0%, 15%, or 20% instead of the ordinary 10-37% income tax brackets. For 2025, the 0% LTCG bracket applies to taxable incomes up to $96,700 for married filers. Add the $30,000 standard deduction, and you could realize $126,700 in capital gains while paying zero federal tax. If you live in Florida, Texas, or Wyoming (no state income tax), you pay nothing to anyone. Most FIRE practitioners obsess over 401(k) contribution limits and tax-deferred accounts. They're optimizing for the accumulation phase while ignoring how they'll actually fund their lifestyle in retirement. The real tax advantage isn't deferral—it's living off assets that qualify for LTCG treatment. Bitcoin holders have an edge here. Dividends count as income, so if you hold dividend-paying index funds, those payments reduce your available room in the 0% bracket. Bitcoin has no yield, so the entire $126k can come from realized gains on bitcoin sales. Tax laws can change, and if you're planning fat FIRE above $125k/year, you'll hit the 15% or 20% brackets. But the structure is there: the tax code rewards people who build wealth through long-term investment and live off capital appreciation. ---
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trey 1 week ago
The tax code is built for investors, not W-2 employees. If you reach FIRE and stop working, your W-2 income disappears. Now you're living off long-term capital gains from your portfolio, which are taxed at 0%, 15%, or 20% instead of the ordinary 10-37% income tax brackets. For 2025, the 0% LTCG bracket applies to taxable incomes up to $96,700 for married filers. Add the $30,000 standard deduction, and you could realize $126,700 in capital gains while paying zero federal tax. If you live in Florida, Texas, or Wyoming (no state income tax), you pay nothing to anyone. Most FIRE practitioners obsess over 401(k) contribution limits and tax-deferred accounts. They're optimizing for the accumulation phase while ignoring how they'll actually fund their lifestyle in retirement. The real tax advantage isn't deferral—it's living off assets that qualify for LTCG treatment. Bitcoin holders have an edge here. Dividends count as income, so if you hold dividend-paying index funds, those payments reduce your available room in the 0% bracket. Bitcoin has no yield, so the entire $126k can come from realized gains on bitcoin sales. Tax laws can change, and if you're planning fat FIRE above $125k/year, you'll hit the 15% or 20% brackets. But the structure is there: the tax code rewards people who build wealth through long-term investment and live off capital appreciation. ---
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trey 1 week ago
Gold was sound money for thousands of years. Fixed supply, global trust, no manipulation. But it had a fatal flaw: it was too slow and too seizeable. When governments needed to override gold's constraints during wars, they just took it. Gold lives in vaults. Vaults can be raided. Fiat solved gold's speed problem but broke its fairness. Suddenly money could move instantly, but only a few actors could create it. Central banks, commercial banks, governments. They printed first for themselves. The result: rampant expansion, distorted signals, and inequality baked into the system. Fiat trained us to think short-term because saving gets punished through debasement. It enabled massive wars and debt cycles. Power centralized in ways that would've been impossible under sound money. But fiat served a purpose. It was the bridge we needed to cross. It bought us time to build global trade, communication, and coordination systems. It got us to the digital age. Now we have something better. Bitcoin restores gold's fixed supply and integrity while delivering fiat's speed. It's self-custodied, permissionless, anti-fragile. The more it's attacked, the stronger it becomes. Bitcoin completes the arc. It doesn't erase the past. It transcends it. ---
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trey 1 week ago
My friend Hal showed me his bank account. $270,000 sitting in cash. Earning 0.00% interest. He's a smart guy with a successful career. But that money is melting away in real-time. Cash is trash. The fiat monetary system requires continuous credit expansion to function. They keep printing more money, which pushes its value toward zero. You see this in rising costs for housing, education, healthcare — things that are hard to supply abundantly. Holding cash means guaranteed losses. Hal's got options: • High-yield savings (3.5%-4.5%) — at least slows the bleeding • Bitcoin yield account (River pays 3.8% in sats) — stack bitcoin while holding liquidity • Stock index funds (VTI averages 8-10%) — liquid, low-maintenance • Real estate — good for some, but illiquid and high-maintenance • Bitcoin — highest growth potential if you can handle volatility I told Hal what I'd do with $270k of toxic cash: turn it into bitcoin by the end of the next business day. He probably shouldn't do that. Zero allocation, no conviction, can't handle the volatility yet. But me? We're at an inflection point in bitcoin's adoption. Any day we could wake up to news that the US government or Meta bought a substantial amount, and the price doubles. When that happens, I don't want cash burning a hole in my pocket. ---
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trey 1 week ago
I see FIRE folks adding international funds to their portfolios for "global exposure." They're paying extra fees and adding complexity while missing what's already there. When you own VTI, you already own the world economy. Apple makes half its revenue overseas. Same with NVIDIA, Google, Meta. The S&P 500 isn't a collection of American companies—it's a collection of global businesses headquartered in America. JL Collins and John Bogle were right about this. US stock funds give you global exposure without the extra risk and fees of international funds. But there's something even better. Bitcoin is the only truly borderless asset. Not tied to any country or economy. No counterparty risk. No management fees eating your returns. Available 24/7 anywhere in the world. You can hold it directly without anyone's permission. The FIRE community figured out that international funds are unnecessary complexity. Time to realize that bitcoin is the simplest global exposure of all. ---
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trey 1 week ago
I see people spending 40 years working toward traditional retirement, missing the point entirely. Your real job isn't your title. It's turning labor into compounding assets that replace your paycheck. The traditional path says work until 65, save in retirement accounts, hope it works out. The FIRE approach flips it: be ruthlessly intentional about spending, stack assets early, let compounding do the heavy lifting. A focused 4-5 year stacking sprint can buy back a decade of your life. The work you do in those first years has exponentially more impact than anything you'll do later. Time-box it. Make it a team plan. Hit the sprint hard, build the compounding machine, then enjoy more of your income while you're young enough to use it. And here's the piece most FIRE plans miss entirely: sovereignty. If you're relying exclusively on stocks and bonds, you're fully reliant on the financial system—holding IOUs gated by intermediaries. SVB was a wake-up call. Boardrooms realized they might not make payroll over a weekend. Bitcoin gives you unilateral control. No intermediaries. No permission required. Even if you're early in the journey, hold some bitcoin you control directly alongside your stock portfolio. Sovereignty is the missing pillar in traditional FIRE.
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trey 2 weeks ago
The FIRE community's blind spot: over-allocating to tax-advantaged retirement accounts. I see people locking 80% of their wealth in 401(k)s and IRAs they can't touch until 59½ without a 10% penalty plus income taxes. They're optimizing for tax efficiency while destroying optionality. If you retire at 45 needing $60k/year, you need ~$900k in accessible funds just to survive until penalty-free withdrawals. Most FIRE pursuers don't have that balance. These retirement account guardrails were designed for average workers who can't control their spending. If you have the discipline to pursue FIRE, you don't need the government limiting your access to your own money. My approach: capture the employer match, then stack sats in self-custody. Accessible anytime. No age restrictions. No permission required. You don't need guardrails. You need optionality.
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trey 2 weeks ago
Hey @primal any issues reported with your LN URL? It seems to be down for me.