Dr. Jeff's avatar
Dr. Jeff
DrJeff@primal.net
npub1k7vk...c04l
Random pleb. Fund manager. Former physician. I'm mostly on Substack these days, writing Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook... come find me there! https://substack.com/@drjeffross - Macro - Charts - Bitcoin - Geopolitics - Often wrong - Random musings - Sometimes funny - Fund management insights - Never individual investment advice ** Nothing to do with Vailshire Capital Management, LLC or Vailshire Partners, LP hedge fund **
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 2 months ago
Shout out to the “Engineered Crisis”… …and to the governments who both create and take advantage of them. Forced commodity supply shock ➡️ Rising inflation ➡️ Rising government bond yields to intolerable levels ➡️ “Forced” yield curve control to “save” the bond market ➡️ Acceleration of currency debasement ➡️ etc., etc.
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 2 months ago
Issue #6 of Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook is live! 👀 The Other Side of the Storm I have a confession: I have been spending too much time in the doom loop. This issue is different. → AI is augmenting workers, not replacing them -- the data says so → US unemployment near historic lows despite decades of automation fears → S&P 500 earnings growing at 18-22% -- the AI productivity story is real → Bitcoin priced in gold: strikingly similar to the Dec. 2022 bottom → Bitcoin short-term: bearish ascending channel resolved to the upside, now knocking on the 200-day SMA → Silver: third test of upper boundary resolved to the upside THIS MORNING "Great nations and economies are built on proof of work. And they die on proof of stake." Plus: proof of work nutrition. Yes, really. Not investment advice. Not medical advice. Just a curious observer sharing what is on his charts. Read it here:
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 3 months ago
Issue #5 of Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook is live! 👀 Signals Converging Four independent frameworks. One directional message. → The US dollar reclaims its 200-day SMA -- bullish near-term, complicated long-term → Bitcoin forming a second bear flag -- with liquidity confirming the warning → Michael Howell's GLI suggests lower crypto prices over the coming 13 weeks → Brent Crude is a coiled spring -- the geopolitical wildcard nobody is pricing correctly → NASDAQ/Gold: a 40-year pattern that has repeated twice is repeating again The window for clear thinking may be shorter than most people realize. Read it here: Not investment advice. Just a curious observer sharing what's on his charts.
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 3 months ago
Just dropped! I had a great conversation with @Danny Knowles on the latest What Bitcoin Did show. Check it out and let me know your thoughts. 🔥 And don’t forget to zap Danny for his tireless efforts and excellent interviews! ⚡️
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 3 months ago
We are all military analysts now.
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 3 months ago
lol… so many people and market participants reading/watching mainstream media think the war in the Middle East is basically over. Things about to get real in the coming days. Geopolitical and financial reorganization is just getting started. #FourthTurning vibes
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 3 months ago
Issue #4 of Dr. Jeff's Macro Chartbook is live! 👀 What Are You Measuring Your Wealth In? → S&P 500 Total Return: +286% in dollars. +0.17% in gold. -97.59% in Bitcoin. → Oil tells the same story — even hard assets fail the sound money test → Why central banks are quietly abandoning the dollar measuring stick → SPX/Gold at 1.43 — the 100-year view, updated → A bonus health observation from your friendly neighborhood physician 😄 The dollar is a shrinking ruler. Here's what the charts look like when you use a better one. Read it here: Not investment advice. Just a curious observer sharing what's on his charts.
Dr. Jeff's avatar
DrJeff 4 months ago
It’s been awhile. Who’s getting ready for yet another #58kGang party?!? 🥳