ARE THERE STILL CAPITAL GAINS TAXES ON BITCOIN OR NAH?
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DrJeff@primal.net
npub1k7vk...c04l
Through Jesus Christ:
Do justice.
Love mercy.
Walk humbly with your God.
- Micah 6:8
Still just a one-off or nah? π
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow real #GDP estimate for 1Q 2025 is currently:
-2.4% (that's negative 2.4%, son)
OPINION:
- US economy looking a bit ugly at the moment, after leading the world to the upside for much of 2023 and 2024.
- The world ex-US is looking pretty solid, actually.
- Global assets may continue to outperform, while US-based assets may struggle for a bit.
Just my two sats. β‘


Can't stop. Won't stop. β‘
Episode #8 is coming out on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at noon ET.
An interview with the one and only @Nik Bhatia of @The Bitcoin Layer !!
We'll be discussing Nik's new book, his upcoming #AI and #Bitcoin class at USC, as well his well-informed #macro takes.
The show will be streamed on @zap.stream and YouTube.
Please reply below with any questions for Nik during tomorrow's show!
βI donβt like being mediocre.β
- Steve Cohen, Founder and CEO of Point72
I find this whole saga to be quite interesting. πΈπ»
View quoted note β
That awkward stage where the fiscal stimulus train is slowing down, while the monetary response remains noncommittal.
YOU ARE HERE.
Hey party people!
Today's show (#7) with @Joe Carlasare was a banger!
Shockingly (to me, at least), I'm suddenly bearish.
AM I CRAZY?!? -- Decide for yourself after watching and let me know in the comments!
Here's a link in case you missed the live stream.
Incoming...
You won't want to miss this one. πΏ
The live stream will (hopefully) start at 11am ET... on both @zap.stream and YouTube.


#Macrostr
ISM Manufacturing New Orders: 48.6 vs 55.1 (prior)
- You don't love to see this. π
ISM Manufacturing PMI: 50.3 vs 50.9 (prior)
- Still (barely) expansionary, which is good. But definitely weak. π
OPINIONS:
The new administration's Downsize and Deregulate with Deafening speed is already starting to show some real short-term economic pain.
"Reprivitization" policies should do well in the medium and longer terms, but will definitely require some time to take effect.
Risk assets and #bitcoin may be tumultuous for longer than they would otherwise have been without the current major administrative policies.
TAKE HOME POINT:
Stay humble. Stack sats. (per @ODELL )
PSA: Do yourself a favor and unfollow me.