Happy Easter NOSTR
We got a little Easter visitor this morning 🐰 




*Red indicates CPI > 2%
What Does This Mean?
CPI vs. BPI
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reflects the rate at which the prices of a standard basket of goods rise in fiat terms—currently around 2–3% per year. In stark contrast, the Bitcoiner Price Index (BPI), calculated as CPI divided by the Bitcoin price, is showing a dramatic decline. A YoY change of –18.53% in the BPI indicates that consumer prices measured in Bitcoin are falling sharply. In simple terms, it means that, for Bitcoin holders, the amount of Bitcoin needed to buy the same basket of goods is decreasing over time—a bullish signal for those who favor a Bitcoin standard.
Averages and Trendlines
Beyond the recent monthly data, my analysis provides additional insights:
Averages of YoY Changes:
• Average CPI YoY change is 3.24%, while the average BPI YoY change is -17.77%. This contrast highlights that, on average, while fiat consumer prices rise modestly, the cost of consumer goods in Bitcoin terms continues to fall.
Trendline Slopes:
• The CPI trendline slope is +0.0327 percentage points per month.
• The BPI trendline slope is +0.4786 percentage points per month.
Although both slopes are positive, this doesn't mean that consumer prices in Bitcoin are rising. In fact, the BPI remains negative (-18.53% in the most recent month) but is “rising” toward zero—meaning the rate at which prices (when measured in Bitcoin) are falling is moderating. Even so, the long-term picture is still very deflationary in Bitcoin terms.
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR):
Let’s take a moment to explain CAGR, as it’s a key metric in this updated analysis:
CAGR represents the smoothed, annualized rate of growth of an index over a period of time. Imagine if the CPI or BPI had grown at a steady rate each year; the CAGR tells you what that steady rate would be.
The formula is:
CAGR = (Ending Value/Beginning Value)^(1/n) − 1
For our analysis:
• CPI CAGR is +3.09% per year, which aligns with typical inflation.
• BPI CAGR is –43.26% per year.
This negative CAGR for the BPI is significant—it indicates that over the long term, in this case 10 years, the amount of Bitcoin needed to buy the same basket of goods has been declining by about 43% per year on a compounded basis. In essence, Bitcoin’s purchasing power has been skyrocketing relative to consumer prices.
Implications for Bitcoiners
For those who believe in a Bitcoin standard, these numbers carry powerful implications:
Deflation in Bitcoin Terms:
While CPI’s modest growth reflects standard inflation, the steeply declining BPI shows that, when measured in Bitcoin, consumer goods are becoming dramatically cheaper over time. This means that Bitcoin holders benefit from increased purchasing power—a cornerstone argument for a Bitcoin-based economy.
Long-Term Appreciation:
The CAGR of -43.26% for the BPI underscores that Bitcoin’s value (or more precisely, its purchasing power) has been increasing at a compounded annual rate. Even if short-term market movements are volatile, the long-term trend suggests substantial gains in what your Bitcoin can buy.
Stabilizing Trends:
The trendline slope for the BPI (about +0.4786 percentage points per month) reveals that while the BPI is negative, the speed of its decline is slowing down over time. This could suggest that Bitcoin’s meteoric rise is moderating—a sign of potential stabilization as the market matures.
Conclusion
In summary, the updated analysis paints a compelling picture: while traditional inflation (CPI) shows modest growth, consumer prices denominated in Bitcoin (BPI) have been plummeting, with the CAGR indicating a staggering annualized improvement in Bitcoin’s purchasing power. For Bitcoiners, this reinforces the narrative that Bitcoin not only holds its value over time but actually gains purchasing power in a world where fiat currencies are subject to continuous inflation. The addition of CAGR to this analysis provides a clear, long-term perspective and is a new feature that brings even more clarity to the debate.
Stay tuned as we continue to refine this analysis and track the trends that matter most to the #Bitcoin community. Feedback and suggestions welcome!
I grew up visiting my grandparents in Joplin multiple times a year for holidays and such.
This tornado happened on my aunt's wedding day.
She couldn't find her daughters for nearly 2 hours after because they had no communication.
Luckily, they were getting ready at my grandparents' house and were safe in the storm shelter.
My other aunt completely lost her house.
My cousins had to finish high school at the local mall.
We visited a couple weeks after the tornado, and the town was comoletely unrecognizeable, a mile-wide EF5 tornado having ripped straight through main street.
We saw cars twisted up like soda cans and wrapped around trees, entire blocks reduced to nothing but rubble.
Luckily, none of my relatives were even injured. Still, we all have some degree of PTSD and fear of tornadoes.
Mother nature is not to be taken lightly, she can fuck up your entire world in the blink of an eye.
I feel like most people don't realize how fuckin big dire wolves were..
Let's hope there are no "lab leaks"...



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