We *have* to talk about adaptation as a result of the warming we are *already* committed to. But we need to understand that we are already brushing up against the limits of adaptation. (See pic) Which is why we also *have* to talk about mitigation because if we don't slam the brakes on emissions our ability to adapt at all will fade into the rearview mirror. Graphic source material: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGII_SummaryForPolicymakers.pdf #ClimateCrisis #ClimateLiteracy #Adaptation #Mitigation

Latest risk assessment for our rapidly heating world: At 3.6 - 4.4°C — 4.5 billion people will be “outside of [the] historical climate niche posing an existential risk” to them At 2.7°C — 3 billion people “It exposes almost the entire area of some countries (eg, Burkina Faso, Mali) to unprecedented heat, including some Small Island Developing States (eg. Aruba, Netherlands Antilles)—a group with members already facing an existential risk from sea-level rise.” Source: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-023-01132-6#Fig5 #ClimateCrisis

Every country will have its own emissions profile. This is the US. There is SO much we can do RIGHT NOW to change these numbers! For example, let’s look at what we can do to slash transportation emissions: 🚶‍♀️Walk to work if you can 🚲 Cycle to work if you can 🚝 Use public transport 🚙 Use an EV if you can 🏡 Work from home 3 days per week ✈️ Meet/Present online instead of flying May 20th 2023: CO2 423.58 ppm Global temp. +1.27°C #futureofwork #climateliteracy #mitigation #leadership

This escalated rather quickly #Italy #floods

the Guardian

Italy: over 36,000 people displaced by floods as Giorgia Meloni departs G7 summit early

Prime minister to visit worst-hit areas as red weather alert extended in Emilia Romagna region

#Japan is also having its share of the Asian April/May temperature records.

Drone footage from the flood stricken north eastern parts of Italy (Lugo) this morning.

Local Team

Local Team

May 16, 2023 - CO2 atmospheric concentrations: 422.50 ppm - Global average temperature above pre-industrial 1.27ºC #Italy #Lugo

One aspect of #CimateLiteracy is understanding what to expect in the area you live as we continue to heat and then make contingency plans for adaptation. The WMO is advocating for an early warning system and some of the recently launched satellites will go a long way in helping with this system. Right now parts of Asia and India in particular and Canada have been hit by early heatwaves that are putting large numbers of vulnerable people at risk. Our climate models are useful but events are moving faster than we anticipated which requires almost real-time warning systems to be dramatically improved and invested in. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/organizations-scramble-heat-wave-seniors-1.6844477

May heat records tumble in Pacific Northwest and western #Canada https://www.axios.com/2023/05/16/pacific-northwest-heat-canada-wildfires-climate

So they have started tracking #CycloneFabien in the South Indian Ocean. General direction #Mauritius. It would be super strange if it reached them as cyclone season ends March/mid-April but who knows in a world where ocean heat records are off the charts. Certainly has sufficient warm water to feed this storm.

Remember this image from the updated study on where the energy goes? Notice that the oceans absorb 89% What does that mean? “Every year about 134 million atomic bombs of heat is being trapped by the ocean. It has kept global temperatures down and kept the land livable but we have to realise that energy hasn’t gone.”

the Guardian

Oceans have been absorbing the world’s extra heat. But there’s a huge payback

Record sea surface temperatures suggest the Earth is headed for ‘uncharted territory’ in terms of sea level rise, coastal flooding and extreme ...

News coming in from #Bangladesh as they experience impacts from #CycloneMocha

Bangladesh lowers warning to 3 as Cyclone Mocha weakens into depression after crossing coasts

Bangladesh lowers warning to 3 as Cyclone Mocha weakens into depression after crossing coasts

The cyclone moves inland as storm surges destroy homes and uproot trees in Shah Porir Dwip and St Martin’s Island while inundating the port city ...

As we face what looks like a significant #ElNino the dice are loaded against us here in the Southern Hemisphere. In 2016 Cape Town came this close to running out of water. City population +4 million. Image source:

Monthly Climate Reports | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

A collection of monthly summaries recapping climate-related occurrences on both a global and national scale

#ClimateLiteracy #ClimateCrisis

Satellites play a crucial role for our early warning systems as we continue to heat. The sonnet we can spot changes in the climate system, the sooner people can prepare. The coming El Niño is no exception. Which is why h the is data is so important.

NASA Science

Climate Change - NASA Science

NASA is a global leader in studying Earth’s changing climate.

#CycloneMocha🌀will further intensify until landfall between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), close to Sittwe (Myanmar) on Sunday 14 May (around noon, local time). 💨 It is forecast to make landfall with sustained maximum winds of 180-190 km/h, 🌊 A storm surge of about 2.0-2.5 m above the astronomical tides is likely to inundate low-lying areas. 🌧️ Heavy rainfall is forecast, with the possible risk of floods, flash floods and landslides. There will be major impacts both ahead and after landfall for potentially hundreds of thousands of the world’s most vulnerable people. Cox’s Bazaar is home to nearly one million Rohingya refugees - the world’s largest camp. The state of Rakhine in neighbouring Myanmar has about six million people in need of humanitarian assistance.

Did you know: To determine atmospheric CO2 concentrations air samples are regularly collected from observatories, tall towers, aircraft, and weather balloons at 86 locations worldwide. (See

Measurement Sites - Carbon Cycle Gases - NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

Map and listing of measurement sites by program for the NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory

In addition, NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatories, OCO-2 and OCO-3, make around 100,000 measurements around the world each day. These instruments ALL show the rising CO2 concentration trajectory. We can’t say we didn’t know! #ClimateLiteracy #CO2

We are having a solid wet start to our Friday with a sub-polar onshore flow creating lots of cloud and rain and our first snow possible Friday night and into Saturday ❄️

#[0]​ I made this update from Nos. View quoted note → However, I don’t see it on Snort or here on Damus. Could this be because it’s an expiring note?

The UK Met Office have also released their May #ElNino projection data and join the other major climate models in projecting what seems like it will be a significant event. Update here:

Met Office

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region sea surface temperature forecasts

Climate centres use several standard regional averages of sea surface temperature anomalies as indices to monitor the state of the equatorial Pacif...

#ClimateLiteracy

WMO: For Sunday May 14 +- 0600 UTC "Max sustained wind speed of 140-150 km/h. Storm surge with a height of about 2.0 -2.5 meters above the astronomical tide is likely to inundate low lying areas of North #Myanmar and adjoining Southeast #Bangladesh coasts at the time of landfall." #EarlyWarning