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Kane McGukin
kane@NostrVerified.com
npub13j76...s940
#Bitcoin + Monetary Innovation. My opinions are my own and not financial advice. Navigating Bitcoin’s Noise 🎙️http://apple.co/3wFbiiq
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kane 9 months ago
Every economic system collapses when it can’t scale—just as Galileo predicted. Are we at the next “reset”? Artifacts → Land → Gold → Dollars → Treasuries → Petrodollars → Debt backed dollars → Bitcoin. Wealth evolves when systems collapse under their own weight. Could Bitcoin be the final reset, or just another layer? image
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kane 9 months ago
Excited to get a copy, thanks @Lawrence Lepard! The community and those seeking to learn about money and the system are better for your contribution.
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kane 9 months ago
"Teams take the personality of the coach." — This is true in sports, business, and economics. If leaders spend recklessly, society follows. A quick thread on debt, spending habits, and America's financial health 👇 image
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kane 9 months ago
Most people view investments as a way to make 💵, a way to buy more stuff. When you flip your optic to viewing investments as a way to make progress, to be productive… The outcome changes dramatically for the better.
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kane 9 months ago
Anyone ever heard of a double bottom? #bitcoin
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kane 9 months ago
Those not recognizing the importance of what Bessent said about Stablecoins, tax, and asset weightings during the #Bitcoin Strategic Reserve announcement/Crypto Summit. Need to realize that Trump’s first term team (US Treasury) did and in-depth study of the financial system and how far behind the US had fallen on the digital front. This stuff has been in the works for a while. #ParadigmShifts View quoted note → image
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kane 9 months ago
“We are going to put a lot of thought into the stablecoin regime… we are going to keep the US the dominant reserve currency in the world and we will use stablecoins to do that.” -Scott Bessent on #bitcoin & #stablecoins At the White House Digital Asset Summit 👇this was clear a long time ago.👇 image
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kane 9 months ago
With DOGE turning off the payments… are “copy paste errors” this round’s “rogue trader”? image
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kane 9 months ago
The US Crypto reserve news today encapsulates Fred Kreuger’s point from yesterday and is the inherent flaw of inflationary systems which @Marty Bent / @TFTC also points out. What’s clear is that as Galileo figured out when velocity is to high the weight of a system will collapse on itself because the volume grows faster than the structure. ➡️We have lived this with the Bretton Woods’s system. ➡️USD/fiat volumes broke the gold base. ➡️Petrodollar volumes & derivatives broke the commodity base. 🔴Faux digital credit — SWIFT was broken by the velocity and volume of transactions over traditional rails — 1929 & 2008. #Bitcoin was created as a means to reapply two basic principles: 1. Sound Money 2. Proper use of Network Effects What the Strategic reserve move proves is what Fred pointed out. For thousands of years humans have chased after velocity and ease over stability and support. Greed dominates even when we know it’s the root cause of all our issues — especially now. Choosing inflatable currencies with little foundation is just a “can kick” of the existing fiat 🤡 🎪. It allows the 🫧 to grow larger. As excess leverage and liquidity that would be forced to be reckoned with will just move to those digitally native casinos to keep the music going and add back chairs that have been removed.
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kane 9 months ago
🚨 Example of a derivative's impact on #Bitcoin. 🟠 BTC (spot) trades 24/7 🟢 FBTC (ETF) follows TradFi market hours Because of the time differences, FBTC showed a series of gaps that ultimately traders like to fill. It's called "filling the gap". Now, BTC’s spot market is working to 'fill the gap.' (light blue & purple zones) This is the first cycle with a full set of Wall Street tools being used to shape BTC price action: Futures, ETFs & Options. 💡Different market psychologies = new reactions These gaps highlight a key lesson: Derivative markets can influence spot price action & provide clues. The psychology behind Futures, ETFs & Options traders differs from spot buyers. As these instruments grow, their impact on Bitcoin’s price cycles is becoming more significant. This can be seen in Bitcoin's changing volatility profile as well. Understanding this dynamic helps traders anticipate key price moves. Bitcoin's changing volatility profile:
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kane 9 months ago
But there is no price suppression #anon. image
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kane 9 months ago
Financial Planning 101: Turn off all apps. Especially ones like Instagram that send you things to FOMO buy every 10 seconds.
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kane 9 months ago
The irony of the day 🚨 We have more information and data available to the average person. We have more tools making it easier to interpret the data to make more informed decisions. However, people are more entrenched in bias (not supported by data) and spend less time on in depth details. 🧐
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kane 9 months ago
Two things are true: #Bitcoin is not for the faint of heart or weak minds.
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kane 10 months ago
Just a reminder for all the irresponsibly long #MSTR crowd in #bitcoin land. Not saying it’s over but definitely was ahead of its skis. image
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kane 10 months ago
#Bitcoin has that August 2024 feel.
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kane 10 months ago
#nostr fail, posted the wrong image earlier. Proof to @saylor‘s point about stock returns being the true inflation rate. Stocks and gold have been #inflation hedges. Asset allocation matters. #Bitcoin will likely be on this chart in the next 50 years snippet. image
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kane 10 months ago
Proof to @Michael Saylor‘s point about stock returns being the true inflation rate. Stocks and gold have been #inflation hedges. Asset allocation matters. #Bitcoin will likely be on this chart in the next 50 years snippet. image