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MORAL FI₿ER
jackmdurden@nostrplebs.com
npub1sfva...ulgn
Framework to live with integrity: health, family, work, money, purpose. Pen name. Personal experience only, think for yourself. Bitcoin. Economics. Finance. Values.
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JackMDurden 2 weeks ago
During the summer of 2021 inflation became persistent. Inflation peaked at over 9% nearly a year later…imports front run and foreshadow inflation…this is going to get ugly.
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JackMDurden 2 weeks ago
Every halving cycle has played out the same: crash, capitulation, "Bitcoin is dead," then a new all-time high. Here is the trend: 1. $152 (Jan 2015) → ATH $19,800 (Dec 2017) — +12,926% 2. 3,122 (Dec 2018) → ATH $69,000 (Nov 2021) — +2,110% 3. 15,476 (Nov 2022) → ATH $126,296 (Oct 2025) — +716% 4. ~$50,000 (~2026) → Est. ATH $250,000 (~2029) — +400% The last halving happened April 2024, daily production was 900 BTC, dropped to 450 BTC per day. The next halving is projected for April 2028, slashing daily production from ~450 BTC to ~225 BTC per day. While 2,000 to 4,500 BTC are accumulated on average daily. The basis trade following the ETF launch in January 2024 is unwinding after more than 2 years, whale addresses holding over 1,000 BTC are on the rise, and exchange reserves have hit a 7 year low. What do you think happens next? image
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JackMDurden 3 weeks ago
Inflation and Rate Increases Coming In Hot… Import prices surged 1.3% in February the largest monthly jump since March 2022. Non-fuel imports rose 1.1%, with year-over-year gains hitting 2.5%, the hottest since Oct 2022. Capital goods posted their largest increase ever recorded (+1.3%). Finished metals are up 27% YoY. Export prices leapt 1.5%, the biggest monthly gain since May 2022, running 3.5% annually, which says global demand isn't cooling. The Fed has been enamored with "progress toward 2%" but when the stuff businesses actually buy to build and produce things is getting more expensive month after month (and we are at war in the Middle East!), that unravels real fast. Compounding core pressures = "how much do we hike?” https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ximpim.pdf
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JackMDurden 3 weeks ago
40% of Americans didn't read a single book in 2025. The average American reads just 8 books a year, sadly the median is 2. Reading more doesn't require a massive lifestyle change. It just takes a few minutes each day: • 1 min/day → 1 book/year • 5 min/day → 4–8 books/year • 10 min/day → 8–15 books/year • 15 min/day → 11–22 books/year • 20 min/day → 15–30 books/year • 30 min/day → 22–44 books/year Just one page a day about 60 seconds gets you through a full book in one year. That alone puts you ahead of 4 in 10 Americans. Five minutes a day puts you at or above the national average. Twenty minutes and you're outpacing the vast majority of the country.
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JackMDurden 3 weeks ago
The Root confirms what I’ve said before, we bottom later this year and then the bull market can begin its slow grind back up, next top late 2029. The cycle lives on. Buckle up folks. FEB 5, 2026: “My current thesis - the cycle is not broken, we are going to $60K later this year, maybe even $50K (because the fall below $70K happened way faster than expected...but this is literally the exact same thing that happened in 2014, 2018, and 2022)...we'll hit the 50 week and 50 month moving averages soon and go sideways for months bottoming out late this year, the bull market will begin this fall (Nov/Oct 2026) and run until the cycle top October 2029.” image
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JackMDurden 3 weeks ago
In 1938 Germany, the Nazis passed the Reich Compulsory Education Act, which for the first time completely outlawed homeschooling nationwide and made it a criminal offense not to send children to state-approved schools. The goal was centralized control over education to indoctrinate youth with Nazi ideology and eliminate alternative influences.
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JackMDurden 3 weeks ago
Abolishing daylight savings time has bipartisan support, popular approval, and absolutely zero chance of happening because the government is completely broken. I know this because I cannot explain why we still have daylight saving time and have it make sense to a five-year-old.
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JackMDurden 3 weeks ago
On March 9, 2026, Bitcoin mined its 20 millionth coin, a milestone that took 17 years, 2 months, and one week to reach. The remaining 1 million BTC will take roughly 114 years, with the final satoshi expected around 2140. Today, miners produce about 450 BTC per day. The next halving is projected for April 2028, which will cut the block reward from 3.125 to 1.5625 BTC and slash daily production to around 225 BTC. Meanwhile, since the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs launched in January 2024, they've accumulated over 1.28 million BTC in total holdings absorbing an average of roughly 2,300 BTC per trading day. That is about five times the amount being mined daily. image