OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife
nostr@onebig.life
npub1dvnf...ypmm
Nostr brings freedom. Bitcoin gives hope.
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 1 year ago
Opt out to bitcoin. Defund the war machine. Tax payers don't fund wars on the other side of the world, and would elect out politicians suggesting higher taxes for war. Governments that can print infinite money don't care what the people think.
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 1 year ago
There has been a lot of recent discussion on the Power Law model (https://hcburger.com/blog/diminishingreturns) which gives a prediction of a range of bitcoin price against time. It's noteworthy because price has continued to conform to the channel shown in the picture many years after the model was published - the red part of the line. image A model is just a model, and they can break. The log range used in these types of models is huge, so of course they are anyway useless as trading or timing tools. And as many people have pointed out, these chart models cannot take into account the real world fundamentals, such as the recent launch of the ETFs. But there is still signal in these charts: - we can expect ever increasing returns - returns are a multiple of adoption increase (e.g. 10X adoption = 100X price) - those returns are DIMINISHING rather than exponential. You don't necessarily need a Power Law chart to work those things out, but the chart verifies the logic, and is currently the best model when correlating price against time. I don't suggest anyone (seriously) predicts price against time, because it will make you look like a fool. But it is fun. And it is good marketing for bitcoin, which brings new adoption - and that is good. A live chart is available at https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/.
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 1 year ago
It's so tiring trying to help loved ones. When you gently show them all the reasons that bitcoin is the apex store of value, why do they always choose to base their thinking as if they bought the ATH and sold at the bottom? A family member just sent me this even though they are currently up 7X on their first (and only) small allocation to bitcoin: "Yes, but do we know what's round the corner. Anyone who invested say $110,000 in BTC in Nov 2021 would have seen its value fall to $34,000 by the following July, and $26,000 in Dec 2022. Have any of the other assets had such extreme roller coaster rides? Does anyone know what caused such violent swings? Are we in a more secure place now?" Exhausting.
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 1 year ago
RELYING ON PROPERTY AS AN ASSET HAS BECOME DEFECTIVE. "It was the best idea 200 years ago, but if you own a thousand acres and then someone establishes a state, and a mayor gets elected who decides to spend lavishly, raising your taxes once, twice, thrice, soon the farming family can’t afford the taxes. Then, the government decides you’re the bad guy, takes all your land, and evicts you. Maybe it doesn’t happen directly; maybe first, you mortgage the farm, then can’t pay the mortgage, and the bank seizes your property." "[...or] the great-grandfather buys a farm, the grandfather and the father both farm the land, but now they can’t pay the taxes on it and have to sell it, moving into apartments" @Michael Saylor at Bitcoin Atlantis in 2024
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 1 year ago
You have a choice about putting your money into x (BTC) or y (USD): a) x / 21million b) y / infinity Only junior maths required to see that for any x greater than zero, option a) wins. #GetOffZero now.
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 2 years ago
BBC continues to write misinformation on behalf of government. Their front page article entitled "Every bitcoin payment uses a swimming pool of water": Quelle surprise! Turns out the data scientist works for a Central Bank and has a history of bitcoin misinformation:
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 2 years ago
US interest payments on its debt soon hitting $1 trillion / quarter. 150 million tax payers in US. That's $6667 (or $26k / year) per tax payer... ...with no services provided in return. image
OneBigLife's avatar
OneBigLife 2 years ago
They say Bitcoin is for criminals. And yet I have received at least five of these Class Action letters because the fiat banks have provably continually committed financial crimes (covering currency, metals, commodity and treasury markets). But because the banks and lawyers control clown world for their own benefit, the plaintiffs (in this case traders, of which I was one) only get paid if they provide copies of all broker statements from 2005 to 2011. Statements required from 18 years ago! In the UK people only generally hold statements for seven years, because that is what is required by tax law. Very convenient for the banks that it has it taken so many years after the crimes were known for the class actions to be brought. And imagine what proportion of the settlement will go to the lawyers for so many years of hard work.