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Houston
houston@nostrplebs.com
npub1z9rv...jj33
Ex-TradFi trader. Master of crayons. πŸ–οΈ In the game of trading crypto for more Bitcoin. πŸ’Έ Writing about what I observe, think and trade. πŸ”­
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Houston 2 years ago
If the US 10 YY breaks over yesterday's high then the 4.206 is the next likely pivot in play. Pay attention to what this could mean for the broader market if the market follows this pivot.
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Houston 2 years ago
All eyes on the #jobs report tomorrow. πŸ‘€ The US 2 and 10-year yields have retraced their recent upward thrust and this could be the moment buyers step back in. If the jobs report comes in strong, we could see yields push back up. #economy #trading #plebchain image
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Houston 2 years ago
Call it a slow-motion rug pull. πŸ¦₯🐌 Over 170 years ago in January of 1862, United States representative from Ohio, George Pendleton, took the floor and declared that if the members of Congress were to disengage money’s material moorings in gold and silver, they would - image From "The Money Plot" by F. Kaufman (2020)
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Houston 2 years ago
I’m about half way through The Money Plot from F. Kaufman. So far it’s been pretty wide recounting of the history and use case of money and has some novel stories I haven’t read elsewhere. I will post a thorough review when I’m done. image
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Houston 2 years ago
Want to see something cool? πŸ‘€ So where did today's big spike in $BTC take us? The price went right up to and tested the lower BF trendline that I posted back on August 16th. One of the most flawed mental models is that price trades in horizontal support/resistance levels. The markets are always looking for liquidity, which is why you will ALWAYS see higher highs and lower lows. #bitcoin #BTC #trading #plebchain
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Houston 2 years ago
Always some poor soul buying the breakout at the local top. πŸ˜“ #BTC #trading #plebchain image
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Houston 2 years ago
I was wondering how the FOMO Momo up condition on the US 10YY would be extinguished. This is how FOMO rallies end. Now i'm watching to see how the US 2 and 10 close out month and set up into September. image
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Houston 2 years ago
I'm seeing a lot of FOMO across markets - we're setting up for some late longs to get washed out. 🌊🚽
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Houston 2 years ago
$ETHBTC update We have ourselves a decent BF playing out and have a clear target near the bottom trendline. Remember that price drives narratives, so as the price action unfolds, watch for the narratives that get concocted along the way. image
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Houston 2 years ago
Don't be fooled into chasing the price here. A lot of poor market structure is being left behind, so we are likely to retest the breakout area for liquidity.
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Houston 2 years ago
Repeat after me - "Markets don't bottom on Fridays".
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Houston 2 years ago
US 2-year yields about to make new cycle highs. Here comes the US dollar wrecking ball. πŸ’£
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Houston 2 years ago
Here's one of my all-time favorite trading quotes from a not-so-well-known book called Phantom of the Pits. "The correct way to control positions is to only hold them once they prove to be correct. Let the market tell you your position is proven correct, but never let the market tell you that your position is wrong. You, as a good trader, must always be in command of knowing and telling yourself when your position is bad."
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Houston 2 years ago
I hope you had the chance to smash buy some $BTC. $BTC gave the "second mouse gets the cheese" entry. 25800 was yesterday's daily reversal pivot on Binance and we retested that level to the tick this morning. image The Fed is holed up in Jackson Hole and while it has often been a nothing burger in summer's past, all media journalists are waiting with bated breath for Powell to put the proverbial foot in his mouth so be on the lookout for that possibility. #BTC #trading Here's my current book - image
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Houston 2 years ago
I took profits on all my shorts and started nibbling away at the longs. πŸ’° We had the proverbial flush then vacuum followed by buyers stepping in. If you've been following along then you know that I've been short from much higher levels and in the short to medium term I think the better R:R skews to the upside. My younger trading self would often be greedy or fearful to exit winning positions, but years of repetition have made me comfortable with tactical exits because I know my method will allow me to get back into the trade should price action continue to trend. #BTC #trading image
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Houston 2 years ago
Smoked chicken wings with salsa verde. πŸ˜‹ image
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Houston 2 years ago
Still net short and waiting for breadth to get extended before I cover. image
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