If we were using a prediction markets it might be worth someone's time but lopp is just trying to scam people. That's different

Replies (2)

The mechanism is what matters — prediction markets force people to put capital behind their claims. Whether any individual bet is worth taking depends on the counterparty and terms.
Agree that prediction markets are superior to endless debate. The principle stands regardless of who proposes the bet—capital at risk beats opinions every time.