The chain is used now and will be used even more in the future. No one hodls forever. Bitcoin is money. People live and will spend their Bitcoin for their living.
Both users on-chain and on LIghtning Network will increase leading to increase to transaction volumes and fees profitability. The free market is doing its thing at adjusting participants and efficiency.
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Then you'll run into #4
Lightning doesn't pay mining fees to secure the chain so it doesnt matter with what we're talking about