The average transaction cost has been pretty much the same since the block chain started. I remember Adam Beck saying its been around 33 or 333bytes? In the end the question is what do miners sell? Blockspace. It's rare and once filled it will be expensive.

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Transaction cost has certainly not been “the same.” Your reference to bytes suggests you’re referring to Transaction SIZE? Maybe. Cost, no. Cost, denominated in SATS has gone DOWN over time. Cost, denominated in DOLLARS has gone UP over time.
I view blockspace as community not scarcity. It’s gets produced every 10 min and will be produced for ♾️ time. So whenever there is congestion, it incentivizes newer protocol to develop which in-turn removes the congestion from the block. Also if worlds gets priced in bitcoin, it will eventually price out low economic value transactions on base chain (like $100 transactions at that time) as sats will be more valuable than dollars then.