This account should be renamed to "your daily dose of depression."
Halving Tracker's avatar Halving Tracker
2025-03-17, 23:59 UTC 332 days after halving Current: $84,013.95 2012 scaled: $929,724.40 2016 scaled: $280,829.16 2020 scaled: $430,828.99 image
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Replies (35)

It’s almost like the past isn’t necessarily a decent guide to the future 🤔 So called “cycles” ending would be a great outcome for Bitcoin generally.
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Deleted Account 9 months ago
Broad market declines are holding this cycle down. I think the Bitcoin is acting pretty resilient
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Hoshi 9 months ago
didn’t you want to sell some btc this cycle to buy stuff? Hope the double top wasn’t it this time.
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BoomTown 9 months ago
…And they’re using Coinbase!
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BoomTown 9 months ago
It’s a shame how many of the really solid bitcoin podcast influencers have been captured by MSTR and the ETFs. The price suppression MSTR has been able to accomplish WHILE attracting the level of simp that has compromised the integrity of really good bitcoiners has been very impressive.
It's good though. Maybe it'll take the wind out of the sails of the NGU crowd and we can get back to the CYPHERPUNK ethos dammit
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Ecnal 9 months ago
If you’ve been stacking since 2020 and you are suffering you might be doing something wrong.
Glass half full, you can still stack under six figures. Soon that will be a distant memory.
Bitcoin will hit $250k by October 2026 whether we have a traditional halving cycle bull period or not. I'm still in the camp that we'll have a massive pump soon that brings us close to $1m, but even if not a 300% increase in 19 months is still good I'd say.
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BoomTown 9 months ago
Coinbase has MSTR’s approval to fractional reserve the MSTR bitcoin stack. If MSTR has 250k bitcoin custodied with Coinbase, Coinbase can fractional reserve up to 150k of those coins, knowing that MSTR’s entire strategy is holding indefinitely. Coinbase custodies most of the ETFs and MSTR … they have 2M+ bitcoins custodied. More important than 10%+ of the total supply, it is more than the TOTAL remaining issuance of the bitcoin protocol. They can 100% use a small float to manage (or create) market volatility.
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BoomTown 9 months ago
The specific numbers are obviously unknown (which is a problem). But total global annual issuance during this epoch is ~165k bitcoin. So it is clear that 50k bitcoin here and there can really impact the expected purchasing power of bitcoin. Show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome. Every power structure in the world is trying to at least SLOW DOWN bitcoin and bitcoin adoption (especially among individuals). This is an EASY way to accomplish that objective.
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michael 9 months ago
well shit. is Coinbase’s ability to fractional reserve MSTR stack conjecture or verified?
In my opinion, being the most objective possible, bitcoin has broken its cycles. A slow and inexorable climb has begun that in the next 10 years will bring it to 1 million! But I don't think it will follow the halving cycles with all these institutions anymore. It will be a growth more comparable to that of gold
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BoomTown 9 months ago
100% conjecture at this point. But Saylor hasn’t done anything to negate the risk.
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Raapop 9 months ago
This time we broke ath before the halving, so comparison isn’t great in my opinion with higher starting point
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rfc 9 months ago
Short term, yeah kinda depro Long term, super optimistic, can still buy while low!