we already see people not using Bitcoin to transact. bitcoiners are stingy because generational wealth.
this is directly because of the capped supply.
also since there's no supply inflation, only people that *spend it* pay for the security budget.
this further incentivizes hodling.
so whether we say it's like real estate or not, because of the capped supply, people are not going to use it as money. it is in the incentives.
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Its Gresham's law. Bad money drives out good.
You don't spend bitcoin cause you have other options. But that's a market inefficiency.
Eventually supplies don't accept other forms of money.
But that's also where a more efficient market cab be made because spending would have to be more valuable than your money.
Instead of the current inefficient use of capital
it isn't "market inefficiency." it's the way people are.
there have always been other MOEs that people have used.
which is yet *another problem with the hard cap. it creates the need for an inflationary L2 for transactions so that they don't have to spend their UTXOs.
suppliers have their own needs. they don't want to spend their UTXOs either.
a hard cap incentivizes *literally everyone* to actually transact on another layer.
and eventually Saylor says " here use this e-cash from my bank"
or the Fed says "here use this CBDC, we'll start you out with $1,000 when you download your wallet."
and in 10 years you're back in inflationary fiat banking, backed by Bitcoin UTXOs.