all evidence to the contrary. you literally just said people were using LN instead. and >90% of people don't self custody anyway. so thats hopium and not predicated on any actual real world usage.

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You don't use ln instead of on chain, you use it in addition to onchain because you need 2 transactions to open and then close channels. Idk how many more transactions are taking place on lightning, but I've already zapped or been zapped like 20 times today, when I was averaging 1 transaction per week in 2016 when the blocks were full.