It seems like Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs and basic economic calculus isn't included in your conception of how holidays came to be.
Frankly, neither of us can honestly assert why the holidays came to be what they are with anything remotely resembling full confidence, however, some narrative explanations of how the holidays came to be are very logical and others are not at all logical. I am prone to go with the logical narrative that accounts for things like sustenance, survival, and praxeological considerations.
First, the astrological markers are established, i.e. solstices and equinoxes. Eventually those become associated with growing and harvesting seasons. The anchoring of growing and harvesting cues to equinoxes and solstices was a way for people to improve their yields/harvests.
Eventually, the knowledge of why the holidays became largely, if not entirely, lost and the holidays themselves remained. The association with fertility remained for example, the Easter/Esther/Ishtar celebration which is tied to the Vernal equinox. Then people unskilled in the application of the Golden Rule started engaging in post hoc ergo propter hoc logical fallacies and chose to associate their greater harvests not with intelligent planning but rather with divine intervention. That leads to all sorts of weird, nonsensical rituals and insane justifications for them that often become ossified into tradition.
I mean...just look at how far baptism has come. The distortions are literally ridiculous. Over a billion people practice baptism today and think they're doing something but the truth is that what they're doing is a hollow shell of the original ritual. Holidays are the same.
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That’s because I’m not using a probability model of how holidays came to be. I’m simply stating that there is higher spiritual significance to those days. Direct interaction between people and higher beings is a key factor in those holidays. Materialistic speculation on how they came to be is not of interest to me. It very well may be important in understanding the current form. I’m more interested in bringing greater coherence with the higher aspects of those days.
If you want to join in the debate with the historians on the material side, go for it. I personally will continue my work in greater communication with those higher beings and bringing that side to light.