That math only works if the ratio of the mined coins is the same after as when then were mined. A lot of btc mining only really makes sense with cheap energy or assuming the price goes up, meaning people hold to sell higher. That wont happen with a high and increasing ratio of a chain split, and no support. What chains or mining pools or exchanges are in support of bip110?
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your question is my key question. mining difficulty adjustment and market price is part of the math