Spent some time with family member this weekend for the holiday. He’s had interest before in bitcoin, but unfortunately was part of the BlockFi mess so has been hesitant since then. We talked about bitcoin a good bit this weekend.
He said he’d consider putting $30k into bitcoin if it dropped “into the 70s” again. But said he’s more likely to buy Eth. I explored this and it’s completely the unit bias thing. Said “what if Eth catches up to Bitcoin and is 20x from here”. I explained market caps, different addressable markets, Eth’s vulnerability to better tech plays, etc.
No luck—this is what we’re up against.
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Yep. Unit bias is lessened by ETF’s for the normies, but that’s not what we want (paper BTC).
Even with the ETFs, retail is paying attention to the price of Bitcoin. They see $100k and it feels unattainable, Eth at $5k feels much better to get “one” vs fraction of Bitcoin. It’s a very tragic misunderstanding
Hate to tell you, but the number of retail holders will do nothing but decline from here.
The further we get in this cycle, I tend to agree with you. They might completely miss on $100k-$1M, and by then it will be more obvious to them (I hope)