If you had to sum up your outlook for humanity wrt AI, is it positive or negative? Or would classifying it either way be too reductive?

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Like anything, it’s good and bad. From a socioeconomic perspective, it is a huge amount of change, so expect older people to hate it and younger people to love it. That may also cue politicians to take stereotypical positions, you might expect right leaning (older targeting) politicians to find reasons to hate it and left leaning (younger targeting) politicians to find reasons to like it. Tie UBI and robot labour into this and you can begin to imagine how the debate will go. But none of that matters much in the long term, because it’s going to happen. From a ecological perspective AI is going to speed up nature, resource gathering will accelerate, genetic mods will accelerate, building will accelerate. Might see autonomous bots that get power from environment eg solar, that would be another big change. People think energy will get cheaper but I doubt it, demand will go up and supply will go up too, prices will continue to be volatile. GDP growth should speed up and GDP/capita should increase too, which should in theory be good for everyone, but allocation of surplus is what really matters. Very long term as insinuated by term “humanity” this is just an inevitable chapter of nature. AI is a part of humanity and humanity is a part of nature. The fact we have reached this point is testament to success of DNA. It’s increasingly likely that we jump celestials to moon and Mars and then other more distal moons. Doing so massively prolongs the survival of humanity and gives us a lot more road, but doesn’t guarantee we make good use of that extra road. Earth is only habitable for another 500m years until Sun cooks it, and it’s already 4.5bn years old. So in that context our escape probability and longevity increasing should be a good thing. Humanity isn’t the algorithm though, it’s DNA that did this. In my view AI is a tool of DNA and not the other way around. Some people are worried that AI might eradicate DNA but I think there’s less than 1% chance of that. It’s the DNA algorithm that’s running things and that’s not about to change. DNA is 10^30 instances running for 10^9 years. That’s an unassailable lead under this sun.