Not exactly. It would only need to be maybe 20% because a 20% reduction in hash rate producers on the legacy chain would cause a significant slowdown. While any block with BIP110 compliace would have 100% compliance with the legacy chain. A single block after activation would likely cascade Miner acceptance (or massive orphan risk).
The only failure modes for BIP 110 is near zero adoption (already about 10%) or a Successful URSF which has next to no discussion 2 months from activation.
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It’s an interesting point of view, though I’m unsure if things will play out the way you are thinking they will.
Also, I’m unsure where you are getting your 10% number. According to this site, signaling is more around 0.3%
BIP-110 Signaling | Wicked Smart Bitcoin
Miner signalling ≠ User signaling. UASF is node count signalling. They will reject Non-compliant blocks increasing Orphan block risk regardless of Miner action.